San Diego (4-13) vs St. Mary's (14-3)
Game Info: Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 10:00 pm (Jenny Craig Pavilion)
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego +17 — Over/Under: 136.5
The Saint Mary’s Gaels are visiting the San Diego Toreros on Saturday, January 11th at the Jenny Craig Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Saint Mary’s Gaels vs San Diego Toreros Prediction. We will examine:
The San Diego Toreros’ recent form and player performance
The Saint Mary’s Gaels’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Toreros
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Saint Mary’s Gaels
Recent betting trends in games played between Saint Mary’s Gaelsand San Diego Toreros
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Saint Mary’s Gaels vs San Diego Toreros game
San Diego Toreros Preview
The San Diego Toreros have a 4-13 record this season and are sitting in the 8th place in the West Coast. They are coming off an 80-93 loss to Gonzaga. The Toreros are 8-8 against the spread, and 6-10 in over/under, while having a 4-7 home record.
Offensively, San Diego averages 66.7 points per game, which ranks 335th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73.3 points per game (238th). The Toreros shoot 40.7% from the field (340th) and 26.7% from beyond the arc, which is the third-worst in the nation. The Toreros shoot 71.2% from the free throw line (193rd) and are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game (245th).
Kjay Bradley leads San Diego in scoring this season, with an average of 15.4 points, adding 3.1 rebounds and a team-high 3.8 assists, while Santiago Trouet adds 9.6 points and a team-high 8.8 rebounds.
Saint Mary’s Gaels Preview
The Saint Mary’s Gaels have a 14-3 record this season and are sitting in the second place in the West Coast. They are coming off an 81-56 win over Loyola Marymount. The Gaels are 6-10 against the spread, and 8-7-1 in over/under while having a 2-0 road record.
Offensively, Saint Mary’s is averaging 75.4 points per game, which ranks 183rd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 62.1 points per game (15th). The Gaels shoot 44.5% from the field (216th) and 32.5% from beyond the arc (251st). The Gaels shoot 68.9% from the free-throw line (266th) and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game, which is 11th in the nation.
Augustas Marciulionis leads Saint Mary’s in scoring this season, with 14.6 points and a team-high 5.7 assists, while Paulius Murauskas adds 12.6 points and a team-high 8.8 rebounds.
Why the San Diego Toreros will win
- The home team has won three of Saint Mary’s’ last four games.
- The home team has won the first half in three of San Diego’s last four games.
Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win
- Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 20 games against San Diego.
- San Diego has lost nine of its last 10 games.
- Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 12 games against San Diego.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Diego ranks T357th among Division 1 teams for a three-point percentage this season (27.3%).
- Saint Mary’s ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (57.4%).
- Saint Mary’s ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (18.1).
Saint Mary’s Gaels vs San Diego Toreros Prediction
Saint Mary’s Gaels have won their last 10 meetings against San Diego, and are 7-3 against the spread. Over is 5-2 in their last 10 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Saint Mary’s Gaels won 88-62 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the total. In this Saint Mary’s Gaels vs San Diego Toreros Prediction, Saint Mary’s is coming as a -17 road favorites. The Gaels are the superior team in this matchup and there is no doubt who will win this game. But both teams are 4-1 and 3-0 against the spread, so I will pass on the side. In this matchup, the 15th-best defense in the nation faces a bottom-30 offense, so I’m not expecting a lot of points. Take the under.