| MATCHUP | St. Mary's Gaels | Pepperdine Waves |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 12-2 | 5-9 |
| Spread | -18.5 -118 | +18.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | -3600 | +1500 |
| Total | Over 141.5 (-115) | Under 141.5 (-105) |
| Where | Firestone Fieldhouse, Malibu, CA | |
| When | Tuesday, December 30, 2025 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Pepperdine Waves Preview
Pepperdine Waves have a 5-9 record this season and are sitting in the 12th place of the WCC. They have a 3-4 home record and are coming off a 96-56 home loss against Gonzaga. Their previous three games were an 84-62 home win against Rice, an 81-78 away loss against Long Beach State, and a 70-62 away win against Cal State Bakersfield.
Offensively, Pepperdine averages 73.1 points per game, while allowing 75.4 points per game defensively. The Waves shoot with 44% from the field and grab 35.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.4 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 5.6 steals per game defensively.
Javon Cooley leads Pepperdine in scoring, with an average of 13.9 points per game, while shooting with 50.4% from the field and 92.3% from the free throw line. Styles Phipps leads the team in rebounds with 6.4 per game, while Styles Phipps also leads the team in assists with 5.3 per game.
Saint Mary’s Gaels Preview
Saint Mary’s Gaels have a 12-2 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the WCC. They have a 1-1 away record and are coming off a 78-73 away win against Loyola Marymount. Their previous three games were a 63-58 home win against Northern Iowa, an 88-75 home win against Florida Atlantic, and a 68-67 home loss against Boise State.
Offensively, Saint Mary’s averages 79 points per game, while allowing 64.9 points per game defensively. The Gaels shoot with 46% from the field and grab 40.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.2 assists per game. They average 3.5 blocks per game and 5.5 steals per game defensively.
Paulius Murauskas leads Saint Mary’s in scoring, with an average of 18.2 points per game, while shooting with 47.5% from the field and 82.3% from the free throw line. Andrew McKeever leads the team in rebounds with 9.4 per game, while Joshua Dent adds a team-high 4.8 assists per game.
Saint Mary’s Gaels @ Pepperdine Waves Betting Trends: December 30, 2025
Why the Pepperdine Waves will win
- Pepperdine has won three of its last four night games against Conference opponents.
- Pepperdine has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win
- Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 14 night games against Pepperdine.
- Pepperdine has lost five of its last six home games against Conference opponents.
- Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 10 road night games against Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Twelve of Saint Mary’s’ last 13 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
- Ten of Pepperdine’s last 11 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 150+ points.
Saint Mary’s vs Pepperdine Prediction
In this Saint Mary’s vs Pepperdine Prediction, Saint Mary’s is coming as -20 road favorites. Saint Mary’s has been the better team this season, as they have a superior overall record and are facing a Pepperdine team that has been below average at home. Saint Mary’s has been better both offensively and defensively, having a +14.1 point differential this season, compared to Pepperdine’s -2.3. I expect the guests to get the job comfortably in this matchup, so take Saint Mary’s and lay the points on the road.