St. Mary’s vs Alabama Prediction 3/23/25 College Basketball Picks

The Saint Mary’s Gaels and the Alabama Crimson Tide meet Sunday in college basketball action from the Rocket Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Saint Mary’s vs. Alabama prediction.

Saint Mary’s Recap

The Saint Mary’s Gaels come into the second round of the NCAA tournament after picking up a 59-56 win over Vanderbilt in the opening round last time out.

Gaels Hunting For First Sweet 16 Appearance Since 2010

Augustas Marciulionis leads the Gaels in scoring and assists with 14.4 PPG and 6.1 APG while Paulius Murauskas has 12.9 PPG and 8.2 RPG to lead the Gaels on the glass this season. Mitchell Saxen has 10.3 PPG with 8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Saint Mary’s up to this point in the year.  Luke Barrett has 9.8 PPG with 6.6 RPG and Jordan Ross has 8.4 PPG with 3 RPG and 2.7 APG while Mikey Lewis has 8.6 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Saint Mary’s is averaging 74.2 PPG on 45.7% shooting from the field, 33.1% from three and 69.3% from the foul line this season.

Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win

• Saint Mary’s has won 19 of its last 21 games.

Alabama Recap

The Alabama Crimson Tide come into the Round of 32 after ending up with a 90-81 win over Robert Morris last time out.

Crimson Tide Looking For Third Straight Sweet 16 Spot

Mark Sears leads Alabama in scoring and assists with 18.7 PPG and 4.9 APG along with 3 RPG while Grant Nelson has 11.8 PPG with 7.6 RPG to lead the Crimson Tide in rebounding so far this season. Labaron Philon has 10.9 PPG with 3.3 RPG and 3.6 APG and Aden Holloway has chipped in 11.4 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Alabama so far this season. Chris Youngblood’s also chipped in 9.9 PPG with 2.2 RPG and Clifford Omoruyi has 7.6 PPG with 6.6 RPG this season. As a team, Alabama is averaging 91.1 PPG on 48.3% shooting from the field, 35% from three and 71.6% from the foul line this season.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

• Saint Mary’s has lost each of its last six games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Alabama has won each of its last six games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Saint Mary’s’ last 17 night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
• Each of Alabama’s last 17 games have produced a total of 153+ points.

Saint Mary’s vs. Alabama Prediction

I’m on Alabama here. I just think that while Saint Mary’s shut down a similar level of offense when they beat Gonzaga twice in the regular season, I think we’re going to see the pitfalls of Saint Mary’s being in the WCC. Alabama has a high-octane offense, an underrated defense in. my opinion, and all of that while playing in the SEC, which this season was heralded by many as potentially the greatest conference in college basketball history. I just don’t see the Gaels having the horses to hang with Alabama for a full 40 minutes and I don’t think the Gaels have the chops offensively to hang around in this game either. Give me Alabama in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Alabama -5.5