South Dakota vs North Dakota State Prediction 3/7/25 College Basketball Picks

The South Dakota Coyotes are visiting the North Dakota State Bison on Friday, March 7th at the Denny Sanford Premier Center, in this Summit League quarterfinal between the 4th and the 5th seed of the conference. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a South Dakota Coyotes vs North Dakota State Bison Prediction. We will examine:

The North Dakota State Bison’s recent form and player performance

The South Dakota Coyotes’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the North Dakota State Bison

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the South Dakota Coyotes

Recent betting trends in games played between the South Dakota Coyotes and North Dakota State Bison

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the South Dakota Coyotes vs North Dakota State Bison game

North Dakota State Bison Preview

The North Dakota State Bison have a 21-10 record this season and finished in 4th place in the Summit League. The Bison are coming off an 82-78 win over North Dakota. The Bison are 14-14 against the spread, and 18-10 in over/under, while having a 11-4 home record.

Offensively, North Dakota State is averaging 81 points per game, which ranks 34th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 74.2 points per game (256th). The Bison shoot 47.7% from the field (40th) and 39.6% from beyond the arc, which is the 4th-best in the nation. The Bison shoot 77.7% from the free-throw line (26th) and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game (222nd).

Jacksen Moni leads North Dakota State in scoring with an average of 20.6 points, 5.6 rebounds, and a team-high 3.7 assists, while Jacari White adds 17.1 points and 4.3 rebounds per game.

South Dakota Coyotes Preview

The South Dakota Coyotes have an 18-13 record this season and finished in 5th place in the Summit League. The Coyotes are coming off a 92-79 win over North Dakota. The Coyotes are 16-11-1 against the spread, and 19-8-1 in over/under while having a 4-11 road record.

Offensively, South Dakota is averaging 85.5 points per game, which is the 4th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 83.2 points per game (360th). The Coyotes shoot 45.4% from the field (142nd) and 32.2% from beyond the arc (291st). The Coyotes shoot 71.5% from the free-throw line (207th) and are grabbing 35.8 rebounds per game (147th).

Chase Forte leads South Dakota in scoring this season, with an average of 17.4 points, 4.4 rebounds, and a team-high 3.3 assists, while Isaac Burns adds 14.8 points and 4.3 rebounds per game. 

Why the North Dakota State Bison will win

• North Dakota State has won each of its last four night games.
• South Dakota has lost six of its last seven games at Denny Sanford PREMIER Center.
• North Dakota State has won the first half in each of its last four games against the Summit League.

Why the South Dakota Coyotes will win

• South Dakota has won five of its last six games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• South Dakota has won the first half in three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty-eight of North Dakota State’s last 29 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 164 or fewer points.
• Each of South Dakota’s last seven Conference Tournament games has produced a total of 155 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• North Dakota State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.9).
• North Dakota State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (62.0%).
• South Dakota ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (20.0).
• South Dakota ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (28.0).

South Dakota Coyotes vs North Dakota State Bison Prediction

North Dakota State is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against South Dakota, but South Dakota is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 meetings. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, North Dakota State won 82-78 at home, not covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this South Dakota Coyotes vs North Dakota State Bison Prediction, North Dakota State is coming as a -2.5 road favorites. North Dakota State is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and have been very good at home, while South Dakota is struggling on the road. the Bison are 4-1 in their last 5 games but are having trouble covering, as they are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games. On the other hand, the Coyotes are 6-3 in their last 9 games and 7-2 against the spread, so I expect them to keep this one close, as they have already done earlier this season. Take the South Dakota Coyotes and the plus points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: South Dakota Coyotes +2.5