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South Alabama vs Toledo Prediction 11/3/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Dec 29, 2024; West Lafayette, Indiana, USA; Purdue Boilermakers guard Myles Colvin (5) pushes through Toledo Rockets guard Sonny Wilson (3), left, and guard Sam Lewis (11), right, during the second half at Mackey Arena. Mandatory Credit: Marc Lebryk-Imagn Images

Dec 29, 2024; West Lafayette, Indiana, USA; Purdue Boilermakers guard Myles Colvin (5) pushes through Toledo Rockets guard Sonny Wilson (3), left, and guard Sam Lewis (11), right, during the second half at Mackey Arena. Mandatory Credit: Marc Lebryk-Imagn Images

South Alabama (21-11) vs Toledo (18-15)

November 3, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Toledo -2.5 — Over/Under: +150.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The South Alabama Jaguars and Toledo Rockets meet Monday in the college basketball action at the Savage Arena. Here’s a South Alabama vs Toledo Prediction. This article will include a South Alabama vs Toledo Pick.

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview


The South Alabama Jaguars won 21 games last season and enter the eighth year under coach Richie Riley. South Alabama hasn’t made the NCAA Tournament since the 2007-08 season.

JJ Wheat returns after averaging 5.9 points and 2.1 assists, while John Broom averaged 5.3 points and 5.7 rebounds. Randy Brady averaged 2.2 assists and Jayden Cooper played in 358 minutes last season. South Alabama lost its top-five scorers from last season, but a lot of the role players return. South Alabama also brings in a handful of division II transfers and has two point guards in recruits Samuel Shoptaw and Desmond Williams. South Alabama received some votes to win the Sun Belt this season, so don’t sleep on the Jagaurs despite a lot of the key players no longer around.

Toledo Rockets Betting Preview


The Toledo Rockets won 18 games last season and enter year 16 under coach Tod Kowalczyk. Toledo hasn’t made the big dance since the 1979-80 season.

Sonny Wilson returns after averaging 15.3 points and 3.2 assists, while Jaylan Ouwinga averaged 2.9 points and 1.8 rebounds. Tyler Ode is the only other returning player, and he played 53 minutes last season. Toledo obviously has a lot of production to replace and there could be growing pains ahead. However, Wilson is one of the best players in the MAC and has made all-MAC selections in his first two seasons. Having him leading the way gives Toledo a fighting chance every time the Rockets take the court. Also, there’s coating stability with Toledo, as Kowalczyk has been here forever and keeps the program afloat each year. I wouldn’t write off Toledo just yet.

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

  • Toledo has won 27 of its last 32 games against non-Conference opponents at Savage Arena.
  • South Alabama has lost three of its last four road games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win

  • South Alabama has won each of its last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Toledo has lost five of its last six games against non-Conference opponents.
  • South Alabama has won the first half in each of its last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Sixteen of South Alabama’s last 17 night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
  • Each of Toledo’s last six games have produced a total of 161+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Toledo ranked 358th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage last season (38.0%).
  • Toledo ranked 6th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage last season (11.7%).
  • South Alabama ranked T6th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game last season (13.5).
  • South Alabama ranked 7th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game last season (9.3).

South Alabama vs Toledo Injury Report


Neither South Alabama nor Toledo have a player listed on its injury report.

South Alabama vs Toledo Prediction

South Alabama has a lot of roster turnover, and it could take some time to figure things out. Toledo will have the best player on the floor in Sonny Wilson, as he’s one of the best players in the MAC overall. That’s probably going to be the difference in the game until South Alabama can figure out a concrete rotation. With the short line, the best player on the court and home court, I have to roll with Toledo.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toledo -2.5

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