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South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction 2/22/25 College Basketball Picks

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Chris Day/The Commercial Appeal / USA TODAY NETWORK

Texas State (14-14) vs South Alabama (19-9)

February 22, 2025 at 05:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas State -1.5 — Over/Under: 134.5

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In this article, we will formulate a South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday,  February 22nd, at the Strahan Coliseum. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Jaguars’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Bobcats’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving South Alabama

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Texas State

-Recent betting trends in games played between South Alabama and Texas State

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Jaguars and Bobcats. 

These two teams just faced off last Saturday, with South Alabama securing the 70-65 victory. 

South Alabama Has Confidence

South Alabama has all the confidence heading into this game, and they have won four games in a row. Two games ago against Texas State, they won, and in the last game against Arkansas State, the defense gave up only 56 points on the way to the win. Barry Dunning Jr had a huge game, putting up 14 points, eight rebounds, and two assists. John Broom played 16 minutes and had zero points. Two games ago against Texas State, Dunning had another huge game, putting up 34 points, 11 rebounds, and one assist. 

South Alabama has a 19-9 record overall; away from home, they still have a winning record at 7-5. The defense has been the show’s star, giving up only 63.4 points per game, which is 14th. They like to get shots up from deep and average 26.93 three-point attempts per game. In this game, South Alabama will need the defense to make a statement again. Myles Corey is averaging 14.3 points while shooting 44.4 percent on the field and 30.2 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why South Alabama Will Beat Texas State

  • South Alabama has won each of its last five games against Conference opponents.
  • Texas State has lost each of its last four day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Texas State has lost the first half in each of its last four day games.

Can Texas State’s Offense Be Better?

Texas State, two games ago against South Alabama, only scored 65 points, but they bounced back in a big way. Texas State scored 80 points on the way to the 17-point victory. It was a balanced offensive attack, and three of the five starters finished with at least 15 points. Tylan Pope paced the team, putting up 16 points, seven rebounds, and two assists. The defense gave up only 25 points in the first half, and the defense stepping up will be key. 

Texas State has been inconsistent at best, sitting with a 14-14 record overall. At home this season, they sit with a 6-3 record. The offense for this team has been, but the same can’t be said about the defense that is giving up 72.3 points per game. Against a strong defensive team, they need their defense to be better, to try to make life not so demanding on the offense. Tylan Pope is having a strong season, averaging 16.1 points while shooting 53.2 percent from the field and 37.9 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Matchup/Facts

  • South Alabama ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (37.7%).
  • South Alabama ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (9.2).

South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction

These two teams just faced off last Saturday, and South Alabama secured the win. Texas State’s defense hasn’t been good, giving up 72.3 points per game. South Alabama’s defense is giving up 63.4 points per game, and they already proved last week that they know how to slow down this Texas State offense. South Alabama has a winning record on the road and is the more balanced offensive team. Texas State’s offense is going to get out to a slow start, South Alabama will take advantage, and they will come out on top. Back South Alabama against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: South Alabama +1.5

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