SMU vs Florida State Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks

The SMU Mustangs and the Florida State Seminoles meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Donald L. Tucker Civic Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a SMU vs. Florida State prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams last met on December 16th, 2023, and it ended as a 68-57 win for SMU at Florida State as it was only the third time these two programs have faced off.

SMU Recap

The SMU Mustangs come into this game looking to add on to their 77-75 win over Syracuse last time out to sit at 22-8 on the year.

Mustangs Looking For Consistency Entering Conference Tournament

Boopie Miller leads the Mustangs in scoring and assists with 13.3 PPG and 5.7 APG along with 3 RPG while Chuck Harris has 13 PPG and Matt Cross has 11.9 PPG with a team-high 7.9 RPG to lead the Mustangs on the glass up to this point in the year. B.J. Edwards has 10.1 PPG with 4.5 RPG and 3.7 APG along with 2.3 SPG. Samet Yigitoglu has 10.6 PPG with 6.3 RPG as well on the year. Karlo Oquendo has 10.9 PPG with 3.2 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for SMU so far this season. Yohan Traore has 6.4 PPG with 3.6 RPG. As a team, SMU is averaging 81.5 PPG on 48.4% shooting from the field, 38.4% from three and 71.9% from the foul line this season.

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

• Florida State has lost eight of its last nine day games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
• SMU has won 18 of its last 21 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Florida State Recap

The Florida State Seminoles come into this game looking to bounce back from their 60-57 loss at the hands of Virginia in their last matchup to slip to 16-14 on the year.

Seminoles Drop 4th In A Row

Jamir Watkins leads the Seminoles in scoring with 18.5 PPG along with 5.4 RPG and 2.3 APG while Malique Ewin has 14 PPG with a team-high 7.8 RPG to lead Florida State in rebounding as the only other double-digit scorer for Florida State up to this point in the year. Daquan Davis has 8.7 PPG with 2.3 RPG and a team-high 2.6 APG to lead Florida State in the assist department this season while Taylor Bol Bowen has 8.2 PPG with 5.3 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Florida State is averaging 74.8 PPG on 45.4% shooting from the field, 31.9% from three and 71.7% from the foul line so far this season.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• Florida State has won 13 of its last 16 games at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• SMU has lost each of its last three day games.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Florida State’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
• Each of SMU’s last five day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

SMU vs. Florida State Prediction

I’m on SMU in this game. I know catching points with Florida State at home is tempting in Leonard Hamilton’s final game as Seminoles’ head coach. However, the Mustangs for me are still the better team in this game, and I think that the Mustangs take care of business on the road here as they can ill afford to slip up. This SMU team already has to go on a run in the ACC tournament and a loss here could mean they have to win the whole thing to steal a bid to the big dance. I just don’t have any faith in Florida State and I think the Mustangs get it done here. Give me SMU laying the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: SMU -3.5