Siena vs Rider Prediction 3/11/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Siena vs Rider prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, March 11th at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, New Jersey. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Siena Saints Betting Preview 

The Siena Saints are 14-17 (9-11) this season after they lost to Manhattan by a score of 78-66 in their last game. Siena trailed 32-23 at halftime and they allowed 46 points in the second half in the loss. The Saints shot 33.8% from the field, 20.8% on three-pointers, and 68% on free throws in the game. Gavin Doty led Siena with 21 points and 12 rebounds, while Justice Shoats added 15 points and eight assists in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Saints defeated Fairfield by a score of 68-64 but lost to Mount St. Mary’s by a score of 85-79 before that. Siena has lost three of their last four games and they finished tied for eighth in the MAAC standings with a 9-11 record. Siena has scored 72.1 points per game and they have allowed 71.9 points per game, while also averaging 32.3 rebounds and 11.7 assists per game this season. Justice Shoats is averaging 16.0 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game, while Major Freeman is averaging 13.2 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game this year. Siena is shooting 42.7% from the field, 74.2% on free throws, and 32.9% on three-pointers this season. 

Rider Broncs Betting Preview

The Rider Broncs are 13-18 (9-11) this year after they defeated Niagara by a score of 77-76 in their last game. Rider trailed 37-35 at halftime, but they scored 42 points in the second half to escape with the win. The Broncs shot 48.3% from the field, 33.3% on three-pointers, and 87.5% on free throws in the game. TJ Weeks Jr. led Rider with 22 points and two rebounds, while Tariq Ingraham added 18 points and eight rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that victory, the Broncs defeated Canisius by a score of 78-50 and Merrimack by a score of 83-78. Rider has won three games in a row and they finished tied with Siena in the MAAC standings with a 9-11 record. Rider has scored 66.7 points per game and they have allowed 71.5 points per game, while also averaging 34.1 rebounds and 12.5 assists per game this season. TJ Weeks Jr. is averaging 14.1 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game, while Tariq Ingraham is averaging 10.5 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game this year. Rider is shooting 42.7% from the field, 72% on free throws, and 31.4% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Rider will beat Siena 

• Siena has lost each of its last four games against the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference at Boardwalk Hall.
• Rider has won each of its last three games against the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference.
• Rider has won the first half in three of its last four night games against Siena.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Siena’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 136 or fewer points.
• Each of Rider’s last seven Tuesday games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 139+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Rider ranks 27th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (15.3).
• Siena ranks T50th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (15.9).

Siena vs Rider Prediction

Both of these teams finished the regular season with a 9-11 conference record, but Rider is playing the better basketball right now. The Broncs have won three games in a row and they have scored 77 points or more in all three wins. Siena has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 78+ points in all three of those losses. Both teams are shooting 42.7% from the field this year and neither defense is very good, so we should be in for a great game here. Rider did win the first matchup with Siena by a score of 61-59, but I think this game is a complete toss-up, so I will take the points with Rider here. 

David Racey's Pick: Rider +3.5