St. Mary's (21-4) vs Santa Clara (17-9)
February 11, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: St. Mary's -9.5 — Over/Under: 137
The Santa Clara Broncos are visiting the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Tuesday, February 11th at the University Credit Union Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Santa Clara Broncos vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction. We will examine:
The Saint Mary’s Gaels’ recent form and player performance
The Santa Clara Broncos’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Saint Mary’s Gaels
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Santa Clara Broncos
Recent betting trends in games played between the Santa Clara Broncos and Saint Mary’s Gaels
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Santa Clara Broncos vs Saint Mary’s Gaels game
Saint Mary’s Gaels Preview
The Saint Mary’s Gaels have a 21-4 record this season and are sitting in first place in the West Coast. They are coming off a 63-49 win over Oregon State. The Gaels are 12-12 against the spread, and 10-13-1 in over/under, while having a 12-1 home record.
Offensively, Saint Mary’s is averaging 74.6 points per game, which ranks 171st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 60.5 points per game, which is the 5th-best in the nation. The Gaels shoot 45.8% from the field (127th) and 33.3% from beyond the arc (225th). The Gaels shoot 68.4% from the free-throw line (292nd) and are grabbing 39.9 rebounds per game, which is the 22nd-best in the nation.
Augustas Marciulionis leads Saint Mary’s in scoring this season, with 13.8 points and a team-high 6 assists, while Paulius Murauskas adds 12.5 points and a team-high 8.4 rebounds per game. Santa Clara will play against Loyola Marymount following this one.
Santa Clara Broncos Preview
The Santa Clara Broncos have a 17-9 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the West Coast. The Broncos are coming off a 93-70 win over San Diego. The Broncos are 13-13 against the spread, and 13-13 in over/under, while having a 4-4 road record.
Offensively, Santa Clara is averaging 80.9 points per game, which ranks 37th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.3 points per game (207th). The Broncos shoot 47% from the field (69th) and 36.5% from beyond the arc (65th). The Broncos shoot 73% from the free throw line (141st) and are grabbing 38.1 rebounds per game (63rd).
Adama Bal leads Santa Clara in scoring this season, with an average of 13.7 points and a team-high 3.2 assists per game, while Christoph Tilly adds 12.9 points and 4.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win
- Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 20 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Santa Clara has lost eight of its last nine games at University Credit Union Pavilion.
- Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 20 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Santa Clara Broncos will win
- Santa Clara has won each of its last three games.
- Santa Clara has won the first half in each of its last three games against the West Coast Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Saint Mary’s’ last six night games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 129 or fewer points.
- Forty-five of Santa Clara’s last 50 night games against the West Coast Conference have produced a total of 138+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Saint Mary’s ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (57.2%).
- Saint Mary’s ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (60.5).
- Santa Clara ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.3).
- Santa Clara ranks 26th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (16.8).
Santa Clara Broncos vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction
Saint Mary’s has won their last seven meetings against Santa Clara, and are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Over is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, Saint Mary’s won 67-54 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.
In this Santa Clara Broncos vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction, Saint Mary’s is coming as -9.5 home favorites. Saint Mary’s is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and have been extremely strong at home, with a 12-1 home, while Santa Clara is mediocre on the road. Saint Mary’s has also been strong against the spread, going for 8-2 in their last 10 games, and have been dominating Santa Clara in recent years, so I expect them to get the job done today. Take the Saint Mary’s Gaels and lay the points at home.