San José State vs New Mexico Prediction 3/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Oct 25, 2025; Pullman, WA, USA; New Mexico Lobos forward Tomislav Buljan (10) dunks the ball against Washington State Cougars forward Simon Hildebrandt (3) in the first half at Friel Court at Beasley Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: James Snook-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
San José State Spartans
New Mexico Lobos
Team Records
9-23
22-9
Spread
+15.5 -118
-15.5 -102
Moneyline
+950
-1650
Total
Over 152.5 (-115)
Under 152.5 (-105)
Where
Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV
When
Thursday, March 12, 2026
Time
11:30 PM EDT
TV
CBSSN
The San Jose State Spartans and the New Mexico Lobos meet Thursday in college basketball action from the Thomas & Mack Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos prediction.
San Jose State Spartans Recap
The San Jose State Spartans come into this game off of their upset win over Boise State 84-74 last time out.
Spartans Looking For Another Upset
Colby Garland leads San Jose State in scoring and assists with 20.3 PPG and 4.5 APG along with 3.2 RPG while Yaphet Moundi has 12.5 PPG with a team-high 7.6 RPG to lead the Spartans in rebounding this season. Jermaine Washington has 11.5 PPG with 2.8 APG and Ben Roseborough has 12 PPG. Adrian Myers has 10.8 PPG with 4.8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for San Jose State so far this season. As a team, San Jose State is averaging 71.8 PPG on 43.6% shooting from the field, 35.8% from three and 73.1% from the foul line this season.
New Mexico Lobos Recap
The New Mexico Lobos come into this game as the 3-seed after finishing the year with a 22-9 overall record including a 13-7 mark in Mountain West play.
Lobos Looking To Head Back To Big Dance
Jake Hall leads the Lobos in scoring with 16.3 PPG along with 3.3 RPG while Deyton Albury has 11.5 PPG with 3.6 RPG and 3 APG. Uriah Tenette has 10.4 PPG and Tomislav Buljan has 12.2 PPG with a team-high 10.3 RPG to lead New Mexico in rebounding up to this point in the year. Antonio Chol has 8.2 PPG with 2.7 RPG up to this point in the year. As a team, New Mexico is averaging 80.7 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 36.2% from three and 73.3% from the foul line so far this season.
San Jose State Spartans @ New Mexico Lobos Betting Trends: March 12, 2026
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
New Mexico has won eight of its last nine night games against San Jose State.
San Jose State has lost 13 of its last 14 Thursday night games against Conference opponents.
New Mexico has won the first half in each of its last nine night games against San Jose State.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
San Jose State has won each of its last four night games played at neutral venues.
New Mexico has lost three of its last four games.
San Jose State has won the first half in each of its last four night games played at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
Each of New Mexico’s last eight games at Thomas & Mack Center have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
Sixteen of San Jose State’s last 17 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
New Mexico ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (29.9%).
New Mexico ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+9.9).
San Jose State ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (77.8%).
San Jose State ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (49.4%).
San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction
I’m on New Mexico here. The Spartans getting their win was nice, but realistically I think that game was more about Boise State showing up asleep and not coming to play and it cost them their season. I don’t think New Mexico suffers the same fate here as Eric Olen has these Lobos ready to go and New Mexico snags the win and cover here.
