San Francisco vs Gonzaga Prediction 3/10/25 College Basketball Picks

The San Francisco Dons and Gonzaga Bulldogs meet on Monday in college basketball action at Orleans Arena. Here’s a San Francisco vs Gonzaga prediction. This article will include a San Francisco vs Gonzaga Pick.

San Francisco Dons Betting Preview

The San Francisco Dons (24-8, 16-14-1 ATS) finished the regular season with seven wins out of nine games. Interestingly, both those defeats came to Gonzaga, their next rivals. San Francisco entered the WCC tournament as the No. 3 seed and opened the tourney with an 86-75 victory over Washington State. The Dons covered a -6.5 spread, while the game went Over 152.5 points.

San Francisco averages 75.9 PPG (129th) and allows 68.4 PPG (73rd). The Dons are 214th in rebounds (35.3) and 187th in assists (13.9). Malik Thomas leads the team with 19.1 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 2.0 APG, and a team-high 1.7 SPG. Marcus Williams follows him with 15.1 PPG, 3.6 RPG, a team-high 4.3 APG, and 1.5 SPG, while Tyrone Riley IV chips in 9.6 PPG, a team-high 5.9 RPG, and 1.2 SPG.

Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Gonzaga Bulldogs (23-8, 13-18 ATS) closed out the regular season with seven wins in eight games. The lone loss came to the No. 1 seed St. Mary’s, while the final victory came against San Franciso. The Zags scored 84+ points in five of the previous six games and reached a 100-point mark for the fourth time this season when they beat Pepperdine 107-55. Yes, the same Pepperdine now plays in the semifinals of the WCC tournament.

Gonzaga is averaging 87.6 PPG (2nd) and is allowing 70.0 PPG (118th). The Zags are getting 38.9 RPG (36th) and dish out 19.9 APG (2nd). Graham Ike is the team’s top performer with 17.0 PPG and a team-high 7.4 RPG. Khalif Battle has 12.9 PPG, 3.5 RPG, and 1.0 SPG, while Nolan Hickman contributes 11.4 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 2.2 APG, and 1.0 SPG. 

Why Gonzaga will beat San Francisco

• Gonzaga has won each of its last 20 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• San Francisco has lost seven of its last eight Monday games played at neutral venues.
• San Francisco has lost the first half in each of its last five Conference Tournament night games against Gonzaga.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty-one of San Francisco’s last 23 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
• Four of Gonzaga’s last five night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 162+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Gonzaga ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (32.1).
• Gonzaga is the only team to ranks in the top five for both field goal percentage and free throw percentage this season.
• San Francisco ranks T27th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.5).
• San Francisco ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.89).

San Francisco vs Gonzaga Prediction

Gonzaga has been dominating this fixture in the last few years. The Bulldogs won each of the previous ten encounters, and only a few days ago, they won 95-75, covering a -9 spread in the process. The spread is a bit bigger this time out, but I am sure Gonzaga will cover it and join St. Mary’s in the WCC finals. San Francisco is playing without its second-best scorer and top assist-maker Marcus Williams, and that will hurt the Dons’ chances in this clash. Without him, the Dons will be limited offensively, and if you don’t have a strong offense, you can’s parry the second-best offensive team in college basketball. Go with the Zags to win and cover.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Gonzaga -14.5