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San Diego vs Pacific Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

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Pacific (9-23) vs San Diego (5-26)

March 6, 2025 at 05:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Pacific -1.5 — Over/Under: 145.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Toreros and Pacific Tigers meet on Thursday in college basketball action at Orleans Arena. Here’s a San Diego vs Pacific prediction. This article will include a San Diego vs Pacific Pick.

San Diego Toreros Betting Preview

The San Diego Toreros (5-26, 16-14 ATS) were in one of the most disastrous runs this year but ended the regular season with a win. San Diego went through a 16-game losing skid and finally snapped that negative streak with an 82-80 home victory over Portland. That win didn’t help the Toreros to move up from the bottom of the WCC Standings, so they entered the conference tournament as the No.11 seed.

San Diego averages 69.6 PPG (311th) and allows 79.1 PPG (339th). The Toreros are 251st in rebounds (34.6) and 397th in assists (11.3). Kjay Bradley Jr. leads the team with 14.5 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 3.5 APG, and a team-high 1.7 SPG. Tony Duckett follows him with 9.8 PPG, while Steven Jamerson II has 9.7 PPG, a team-high 7.8 RPG, and 1.0 SPG.

Pacific Tigers Betting Preview

The Pacific Tigers (9-23, 14-16 ATS) finished the regular season with four consecutive losses, including the final two at home to Portland and Santa Clara. Earlier in the season, Pacific endured a nine-game losing run, while the Tigers went through four-game losing skids on three occasions. Although they ended in 10th position in the WCC Standings with the same conference record as Pepperdine, Pacific lost both H2Hs to the Waves.

Pacific is averaging 69.3 PPG (319th) and is allowing 75.6 PPG (287th). The Tigers are getting 34.9 RPG (235th) and dish out 12.7 APG (293rd). Elijah Fisher is the team’s top scorer with 15.9 PPG and 4.9 RPG. Elias Ralph adds 14.6 PPG, a team-high 7.2 RPG, and a team-high 1.2 BPG, while Lamar Washington contributes 13.4 PPG, 5.2 RPG, a team-high 5.7 APG, and a team-high 1.6 SPG. 

Why Pacific will beat San Diego

  • San Diego has lost 16 of its last 17 games against the West Coast Conference.
  • Pacific has won seven of its last eight Thursday games against San Diego.
  • Pacific has won the first half in three of its last four day games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of San Diego’s last five day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue has produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
  • Nine of Pacific’s last 11 games have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • San Diego ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for a three-point percentage this season (28.7%).
  • San Diego ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (45.7%).

San Diego vs Pacific Prediction

The teams traded victories recently, with each recording five out of the last ten H2H meetings. This season, Pacific was better at home, while the Toreros won in San Diego. I lean toward Pacific in this one as it seems the Tigers have a slightly better team and are not that disastrous when playing away from home. Pacific booked three wins at a neutral location this season and two on the road, while San Diego is 0-12 in away games and lost the only game at a neutral location. San Diego has only hit the Moneyline in 5 of its last 32 games. I am backing Pacific to progress to the second round and meet Loyola Marymount.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Pacific ML

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