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Samford vs George Mason Prediction 3/19/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
George Mason (26-8) vs Samford (22-10)
March 19, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: George Mason -7.5 — Over/Under: 147.5
The Samford Bulldogs and the George Mason Patriots meet Wednesday in NIT college basketball action from EagleBank Arena. Here’s a Samford vs George Mason prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Samford vs George Mason pick. We will examine:
The Samford Bulldogs recent form and player performance
The George Mason Patriots recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Samford Bulldogs
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the George Mason Patriots
Recent betting trends in games played between Samford and George Mason
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Samford vs George Mason game
Samford Bulldogs Betting Preview
Samford started to stumble a bit beginning in February, but outside of that they’ve been pretty good this year. The bulldogs lost just three of their first 12 games versus Cornell, Michigan State and Arizona. Wins over Alabama A&M, the Citadel, Western Carolina, VMI, UNC Greensboro and Mercer came next before a loss to East Tennessee State. Samford would win four of their next five games, but closed out the regular season on a rough run 3-4. Those wins were over Wofford, Western Carolina and VMI. The losses otherwise were against East Tennessee State, Chattanooga, Furman and UNC Greensboro. After their tournament loss to Furman, the Bulldogs have a 22-10 overall record through 32 games this year.
In their Furman matchup way back on March 8, the Bulldogs kicked off with a 38-36 deficit. Samford was outscored 57-42 the rest of the way and ended up facing 95-78 in the end. Tops in scoring was Josh Holloway with 21 points, four steals and three assists, while Jaden Brownell chipped in 16 points with three rebounds, one assist and one steal.
George Mason Patriots Betting Preview
Over on the George Mason side, they got off to a rough 2-3 start this year then found their form with wins in eight of the next 10 games. A win streak over Richmond, UMass, Dayton, George Washington, St. Bonaventure, Loyola, Davidson, George Washington, Rhode Island, St. Louis and Saint Joseph’s came next, then losses to VCU and Duquesne in the next three games (with a lone win over Fordham). After wins versus La Salle, Richmond, George Washington and Saint Joseph’s in the next quartet, the Patriots took a tough loss to VCU in the Atlantic 10 Tournament Championship Game. That gives the Patriots a 26-8 record this year so far.
On Sunday in their game versus VCU, the Patriots faced a 36-28 deficit by halftime. George Mason got slightly better from there on a 35-32 run but still took the loss in the end 68-63. Tops in scoring was Jalen Haynes with 17 points and eight rebounds. Darius Maddox added 12 points with three steals and two assists in 34 minutes of work as well.
Why the George Mason Patriots will win
- George Mason has won each of its last 15 games at EagleBank Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Samford has lost eight of its last nine Wednesday night road games against non-Conference opponents.
- Samford has lost the first half in three of its last four night games.
Why the Samford Bulldogs will win
- Samford has won three of its last four night games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Twelve of Samford’s last 13 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 151+ points.
- Ten of George Mason’s last 11 night games have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- George Mason ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (63.1).
- George Mason ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (21.5).
- Samford ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (64.2).
- Samford ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.8).
Samford vs George Mason Prediction
I’ll stay with George Mason. The Patriots didn’t play their best in their Sunday loss to a very good VCU team, ultimately shooting just 33.9 percent from the field with 11 turnovers for 15 Rams points. George Mason played well on defense though, with 40.4 percent shooting allowed and 16 points off 16 VCU miscues. The foul shooting (16-of-19 for 84.2 percent) was great as well; the team simply couldn’t overcome the rough shooting outing. It would be nice to see the offense get going in this NIT matchup, as George Mason has been below 70 points in four of the last six games (a 4-2 run). The Patriots have given up fewer than 69 points in five straight though (a 4-1 run), so we’ll take what we can get.
Samford has posted 78 or more points in four straight (a 2-2 run), which makes this a very interesting matchup. All things considered however, I like George Mason to bounce back with a nice effort and control this one from front to back.