Sam Houston State vs New Mexico State Prediction 12/21/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Sam Houston Bearkats and the New Mexico State Aggies meet Sunday in college basketball action from the Pan American Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies prediction.

Sam Houston Bearkats Recap

The Sam Houston Bearkats come into this game looking to add on to their 85-75 win over Oregon State last time out to sit at 7-3 this season.

Bearkats Win 6 Of Last 7

Isaiah Manning leads the Bearkats in scoring with 11.3 PPG along with 3.9 RPG while Justin Begg has 10.3 PPG with 2.6 RPG and a team-high 4.5 APG to lead the Bearkats in assists so far this season. Po’Boigh King has 10.3 PPG while Kashie Natt has 10.1 PPG with a team-high 8 RPG to lead Sam Houston in rebounding and Jacobe Coleman has 10.1 PPG with 2.6 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Sam Houston so far this season. Damon Nicholas Jr. also has 9.1 PPG with 4.8 RPG and Veljko Ilic also has 8.9 PPG with 5.1 RPG as well so far this year for Sam Houston. As a team, Sam Houston is averaging 86.9 PPG on 46.6% shooting from the field, 35.4% from three and 79.2% from the foul line so far this season.

New Mexico State Aggies Recap

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game looking to bounce back from an 83-70 loss at the hands of Tulsa last time out to sit at 6-3 this season.

Aggies Drop 3 In A Row

Jemel Jones leads the Aggies in scoring with 16 PPG along with 5 RPG as the lone double-digit scorer for New Mexico State up to this point in the year while Julius Mims has 9.4 PPG with a team-high 8.6 RPG to lead the Aggies in rebounding. Anthony Wrzeszcz has 8.2 PPG while Jayland Randall has 7.8 PPG with 4.2 RPG. Gabe Pickens has a team-high 3.5 APG to lead the Aggies in assists up to this point in the year. As a team, New Mexico State is averaging 74.7 PPG on 43.4% shooting from the field, 32.8% from three and 69.5% from the foul line this season.

Sam Houston State Bearkats @ New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends: December 21, 2025

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won each of its last five games at Pan American Center.
• Sam Houston State has lost each of its last five road day games against Conference opponents.
• New Mexico State has won the first half in 14 of its last 15 day games at Pan American Center.

Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win

• Sam Houston State has won each of its last four day games.
• New Mexico State has lost each of its last three games.
• Sam Houston State has won the first half in each of its last four day games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of New Mexico State’s last 17 games at Pan American Center have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
• Thirteen of Sam Houston State’s last 14 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico State ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (20.7).
• New Mexico State ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (77.5%).
• Sam Houston State ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (42.9).
• Sam Houston State ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (65.8).

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction

I’m on Sam Houston here. I get the case to be made for New Mexico State being favored at home, but the Bearkats have been so strong on the road that it’s hard to pass on them getting free points in this one when I could argue this being a true coin flip. I think that Sam Houston is live for another road win here so give me the Bearkats in this one with the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Sam Houston +3.5