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Sacramento State vs Weber State Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks

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Weber State (11-21) vs Sacramento State (7-24)

March 8, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Weber State -3.5 — Over/Under: 132.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Sacramento State Hornets are visiting the Weber State Wildcats on Saturday, March 8th at the Idaho Central Arena, in this Big Sky First Round matchup between the 9th seed and the 10th seed. The winner of this game will face Montana State on Sunday 9th in the second round. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Sacramento State Hornets vs Weber State Wildcats Prediction. We will examine:

The Weber State Wildcats recent form and player performance

The Sacramento State Hornets recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Weber State Wildcats

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Sacramento State Hornets

Recent betting trends in games played between Sacramento State Hornets and Weber State Wildcats

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Sacramento State Hornets vs Weber State Wildcats game

Weber State Wildcats Preview

The Weber State Wildcats finished the regular season with a 11-19 record this season and were placed on the 9th place of the Big Sky. Weber State is coming off a 63-68 loss by Northern Colorado. The Wildcats are 12-16-1 against the spread, and 16-13 in over/under, while having a 4-11 road record.

Offensively, Weber State is averaging 72.1 points per game, which ranks 235th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.8 points per game (178th). The Wildcats shoot with 45.6% from the field (135th), and with 34.4% from beyond the arc (162nd). The Wildcats shoot with 70% from the free-throw line (255th), and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game (256th).

Blaise Threatt leads Weber State in scoring with an average of 20.1 points, 5.7 rebounds and a team-high 4.5 assists, while Miguel Tomley adds 11.2 points per game.

Sacramento State Hornets Preview

The Sacramento State Hornets finished the regular season with a 7-23 record this season and were placed on the 10th place of the Big Sky. Sacramento State is coming off a 56-59 loss in Portland State. The Hornets are 10-16-1 against the spread, and 11-16 in over/under, while having a 2-13 road record. 

Offensively, Sacramento State is averaging 66.1 points per game, which ranks 347th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.1 points per game (130th). The Hornets shoot with 42.8% from the field (290th), and with 32.8% from beyond the arc (250th). The Hornets shoot with 66.7% from the free-throw line (332nd), and are grabbing 33.7 rebounds per game (270th).

Jacob Holt leads Sacramento State in scoring with an average of 16.2 points and a team-high 7 rebounds, while Julian Vaughns adds 10.9 points and 2.8 rebounds per game.  

Why the Weber State Wildcats will win

  • Sacramento State has lost each of its last eight Saturday games.
  • Weber State has won nine of its last 11 games against Sacramento State.
  • Weber State has won the first half in seven of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

  • Weber State has lost six of its last seven Conference Tournament night games.
  • Weber State has lost the first half in four of its last five games against the Big Sky Conference.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Sacramento State ranks 22nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (53.5).

Sacramento State Hornets vs Weber State Wildcats Prediction

Weber State is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against Sacramento State, but Sacramento State is 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 meetings. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Sacramento State won 80-77 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this Sacramento State Hornets vs Weber State Wildcats Prediction, Weber State is coming as -3.5 point favorites. Weber State is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and had four wins away from home, while Sacramento State was terrible on the road, with just two wins in their 15 road games. Weber State is coming in great form, as they are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games, while Sacramento State is 1-9 in their last 10 games. Weber State has been dominating Sacramento State in recent years, and given both teams’ current form, I expect them to take care of business in this first round matchup. Take the Weber State Wildcats and lay the points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Weber State Wildcats -3.5

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