Sacramento State vs Idaho Prediction 3/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Sacramento State Hornets and the Idaho Vandals meet Saturday in Big Sky Tournament college basketball action from Idaho Central Arena in Boise. Here’s a Sac State vs Idaho prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Sacramento State vs Idaho pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Sac State Hornets Betting Preview

The Hornets could only muster six wins in their first 19 games this year, but then took out Montana State, Montana and Weber State in the next trio of outings. Sac State hit a losing streak versus Portland State, Northern Colorado, Northern Arizona, Eastern Washington, Idaho, Montana and Montana State from there before a win over Idaho State gave the team a 10-20 run.

In the Idaho State game on Monday the Hornets were coming out of the locker room at the break with a comfortable 46-29 advantage. Sac State hit a 37-36 run the rest of the way and finished off an 83-65 win in the end. Prophet Johnson was tops on the team with 20 points and 10 rebounds while Arman Madi also doubled with 13 points, 11 boards and seven assists.

Idaho Vandals Betting Preview

Over on the Vandals’ side, they posted a nice 12-7 run over their first 19 games before posting a rough 1-5 stretch. The losses in that run were against Portland State, Northern Colorado, Montana State, Montana and Weber State. Next came a 3-1 run with victories over Idaho State, Sacramento State and Northern Arizona (and a loss to Portland State). Since then it’s been a loss to Northern Colorado and a win over Eastern Washington.

Matched up against Eastern Washington on Monday the Vandals left the floor after the first half with a 34-30 advantage. Idaho was able to keep the pace for the rest of the game on a 51-51 run and eventually powered out the victory on the road 85-81 as the game concluded. Jackson Rasmussen was tops on the team with 14 points, eight rebounds and four assists in the win.

Sacramento State Hornets @ Idaho Vandals Betting Trends: March 7, 2026

Why the Idaho Vandals will win

• Sacramento State has lost seven of its last eight games against Conference opponents.
• Idaho has won each of its last four games against Sacramento State.
• Idaho has won the first half in each of its last four games against Conference opponents.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

• Idaho has lost seven of its last eight games against the Big Sky Conference at Idaho Central Arena.

Matchup/League Facts

• Sacramento State ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (72.0).
• Sacramento State ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (77.8%).

Sacramento State vs Idaho Prediction

I’ll stick with the Idaho in this one. The Vandals were able to power past Eastern Washington in their last game despite giving up 54 percent shooting on defense with 10 turnovers and a 34-28 deficit in the paint. Idaho shot a nice 47.6 percent from the field themselves however, with 48.3 percent (14-of-29) from outside. That gives the Vandals a 3-1 run over the last four games, with 78 or more points scored in each of the wins.

Idaho managed to win both contests between these teams this year: 86-76 at home on January 22 and 86-80 on the road February 21. In that road win the Vandals didn’t shoot great from the field (41.9 percent) but made up for it with 41.2 percent (14-of-34) from outside and a 41-28 rebounding edge. Idaho simply has to eliminate their mistakes in this matchup though, as they committed 16 turnovers for 22 Hornets points last time.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Idaho Vandals -6.5