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Rutgers vs Michigan State Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Feb 24, 2026; Piscataway, New Jersey, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights guard Tariq Francis (0) is guarded by Washington Huskies guard Quimari Peterson (0) during the second half at Jersey Mike's Arena. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Feb 24, 2026; Piscataway, New Jersey, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights guard Tariq Francis (0) is guarded by Washington Huskies guard Quimari Peterson (0) during the second half at Jersey Mike's Arena. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Rutgers Scarlet Knights Michigan State Spartans
Team Records 12-17 24-5
Where Breslin Center, East Lansing, MI
When Thursday, March 5, 2026
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV FS1
In this article we will formulate a Rutgers vs Michigan State prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, March 5th at the Breslin Center in East Lansing, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Betting Preview

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are 12-17 (5-13) this season after they defeated Maryland by a score of 69-65 in their last game. Rutgers led 39-20 at halftime, but they were outscored 45-30 in the second half in the win. The Scarlet Knights shot 40% from the field, 24% on three pointers, and 83% on free throws in the game. Tariq Francis led Rutgers with 19 points and four rebounds, while Darren Buchanan Jr added 14 points and seven rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Rutgers lost to Washington by a score of 79-72 and Minnesota by a score of 80-61. The Scarlet Knights have scored 70.2 points per game with 33.3 rebounds and 11.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.4 points against per game this season. Tariq Francis is averaging 16.6 points and 2.8 assists per game, while Dylan Grant is averaging 10.4 points and 4.4 rebounds per game for the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers is shooting 41.5% from the field, 73.6% on free throws, and 31.7% on three pointers this season. 

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Michigan State Spartans are 24-5 (14-4) this year after they defeated Indiana by a score of 77-64 in their last game. Michigan State led 45-37 at halftime and they held Indiana to just 27 points in the second half in the win. The Spartans shot 49% from the field, 50% on three pointers, and 79% on free throws in the game. Jaxon Kohler led MSU with 21 points and 13 rebounds, while Jeremy Fears Jr added 21 points and nine assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, Michigan State defeated Purdue by a score of 76-74 and Ohio State by a score of 66-60. The Spartans have scored 78.3 points per game with 40.4 rebounds and 18.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 66.3 points against per game this season. Jeremy Fears Jr is averaging 15.1 points and 9.1 assists per game, while Jaxon Kohler is averaging 12.4 points and 9.2 rebounds per game for the Spartans. Michigan State is shooting 46.9% from the field, 75.7% on free throws, and 35.6% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

Why the Rutgers Scarlet Knights will win

Total Points Facts

Rutgers vs Michigan State Prediction 

Michigan State comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they will be at home for this game. The Spartans are shooting 47% from the field and they have allowed 64 points or fewer in three of their last four. Rutgers has won three of their last five games, but they are just 5-13 in Big Ten play. The Scarlet Knights are shooting 42% from the field and they have allowed 79+ points in two of their last three. I think MSU will win easily, but this is a tough spot with Michigan up next, so I will take the points with Rutgers.

David Racey's Pick: Rutgers +18.5

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