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Robert Morris vs Alabama Prediction 3/21/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Alabama (25-8) vs Robert Morris (26-8)

March 21, 2025 at 12:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Alabama -22 — Over/Under: 166

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Robert Morris vs Alabama prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, March 21st at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tournament. 

Robert Morris Colonials Betting Preview

The Robert Morris Colonials are 26-8 (15-5) this season after they defeated Youngstown State by a score of 89-78 in the Horizon League Championship game. Robert Morris led 34-29 at halftime and added 55 points in the second half in the win. The Colonials shot 46.8% from the field, 50% on three pointers, and 71.4% on free throws in the game. Josh Omojafo led Robert Morris with 24 points and 13 rebounds, while Kam Woods added 17 points and six rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Colonials defeated Oakland by a score of 79-76 and Wright State by a score of 83-62. Robert Morris has won 10 games in a row and they finished first in the Horizon standings with a 15-5 record. The Colonials don’t have any solid non-conference wins, but they did lose to West Virginia by 28 points to open the season. Robert Morris has scored 76.9 points per game and they have allowed 70.4 points against per game, while also averaging 37.3 rebounds and 16.0 assists per game this season. Kam Woods is averaging 15.1 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game, while Alvaro Folgueiras is averaging 14.1 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 3.1 assists per game this year. Robert Morris is shooting 45.1% from the field, 72.2% on free throws, and 35% on three pointers this season. 

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 25-8 (13-5) this year after they lost to Florida by a score of 104-82 in their last game. Alabama only trailed 47-45 at halftime, but they were outscored 57-37 in the second half in the loss. The Crimson Tide shot 41.8% from the field, 31.4% on three pointers, and 65.2% on free throws in the game. Chris Youngblood led Alabama with 14 points and one rebound, while Mouhamed Dioubate added 12 points and 12 rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Crimson Tide defeated Kentucky by a score of 99-70 and Auburn by a score of 93-91. Alabama has lost three of their last five games and they finished third in the SEC standings with a 13-5 record. The Crimson Tide have non-conference wins over Illinois, Houston, UNC, and Creighton, while losing to Purdue by nine points and Oregon by two points. Alabama has scored 91.1 points per game and they have allowed 81.4 points against per game, while also averaging 43.1 rebounds and 16.8 assists per game this season. Mark Sears is averaging 18.7 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game, while Grant Nelson (questionable) is averaging 11.8 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game this year. Alabama is shooting 48.3% from the field, 71.6% on free throws, and 35% on three pointers this season. 

Why Robert Morris will beat Alabama

  • Robert Morris has won 16 of its last 17 games.

Total Points Facts

  • Forty of Robert Morris’ last 44 day games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 166 or fewer points.
  • Each of Alabama’s last four games have produced a total of 169+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (68.4).
  • Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for pace this season (75.4).
  • Robert Morris ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (53.5%).
  • Robert Morris ranks T48th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.5).

David Racey is 32-13 (71%) in College Basketball over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Robert Morris vs Alabama Prediction 

Alabama comes into this matchup as one of the highest scoring teams in the country, but they don’t play much defense and they will probably be without Grant Nelson here. The Crimson Tide have allowed 104, 70, 91, and 99 points in their last four games, which is definitely a concern. Robert Morris is a huge underdog in this game, but they have won 10 games in a row and they have scored at least 82 points in three of their last four. I do think the Colonials will be able to keep this game somewhat close, especially with Alabama’s defensive issues, so give me the points with Robert Morris here. 

David Racey's Pick: Robert Morris +22

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