Richmond vs Davidson Prediction 3/12/25 College Basketball Picks

The Richmond Spiders and the Davidson Wildcats meet Wednesday in Atlantic 10 Tournament college basketball action from Capital One Arena. Here’s a Richmond vs Davidson prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Richmond vs Davidson pick. We will examine: 

The Richmond Spiders’ recent form and player performance

The Davidson Wildcats’ recent form and player performance 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Richmond Spiders

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Davidson Wildcats

Recent betting trends in games played between Richmond and Davidson

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Richmond vs Davidson game

Richmond Spiders Betting Preview

The Spiders posted a middling run out of the gate this year, and things have only gotten worse since then. Richmond won just seven of their first 15 games, then hit a losing streak versus George Mason, Rhode Island, St. Bonaventure, Saint Louis, Davidson, George Washington, and VCU. A 3-2 run came next with wins over Duquesne, Fordham, and La Salle alongside losses to Davidson and Loyola Chicago. Since then it’s been four straight losses to Saint Joseph’s, VCU, Dayton, and George Mason in succession. That gives the Spiders a 10-21 record so far. 

In the George Mason matchup on Saturday, the Spiders went into the break with a 32-24 edge. Richmond lost the handle from there on a 40-28 run and took the loss at the end 64-60. B. Artis White was the leading scorer in the loss with 16 points, four assists, and three rebounds. Mike Walz added 10 points with six boards and three assists, while Collin Tanner came off the bench for 10 points and five rebounds in 27 minutes of work during the defeat. 

Davidson Wildcats Betting Preview

Over on the Davidson side, they were looking pretty good in mid-January but they’ve fallen off the table since then. The Wildcats posted a 12-4 run over their first 16 games, then lost to La Salle, Rhode Island, Saint Joseph’s, George Mason, and Dayton (with a win over Richmond) in the next six. After wins over Richmond and UMass came a 1-6 run with a lone win over Fordham mixed among losses to George Washington, Loyola Chicago, Saint Louis, VCU, Loyola, and Saint Bonaventure. In total over 31 games so far this year that gives the Wildcats a 16-15 record. 

Back on Saturday versus St. Bonaventure, the Wildcats exited the locker room with a 34-34 tie. Davidson was outpaced 30-27 the rest of the way in a 64-61 loss. Connor Kochera led the team with 25 points, two rebounds, and two assists. Reed Bailey added 15 points with eight rebounds, three assists and a steal. Tops off the bench was Bobby Durkin with eight points, seven rebounds, and four assists in 36 minutes of action. 

Why the Davidson Wildcats will win

• Richmond has lost each of its last five day games against the Atlantic 10 Conference.
• Richmond has lost the first half in four of its last five games at Capital One Arena.

Why the Richmond Spiders will win

• Davidson has lost each of its last four games against the Atlantic 10 Conference.
• Richmond has won each of its last four games against the Atlantic 10 Conference at Capital One Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Richmond’s last four Conference Tournament games has produced a total of 127 or fewer points.
• Twenty-two of Davidson’s last 26 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 131+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Davidson ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (11.1).
• Davidson ranks 38th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (13.0%).
• Richmond ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (10.2).

Richmond vs Davidson Prediction 

I’ll lean toward Davidson but I’m probably staying away from this one. The Wildcats fell at home to a good St. Bonaventure team in their last outing but didn’t shoot too badly (43.4 percent). The trouble spots were the 36-28 rebounding deficit and the 12 turnovers for 15 Bonnies points. Davidson has lost four straight games now, but they’ve been within three points in two of those. 

The good news for the Wildcats is that they’ve won both meetings with Richmond this year, 71-60 at home and 72-66 on the road. In the February 8 home win, the Wildcats shot a healthy 45.3 percent from the field with 15-of-18 (83.3 percent) from the line and a 35-25 rebounding edge. Davidson gave up just four turnovers along the way in a pretty nice overall effort. Richmond shot pretty well themselves (46.2 percent) but lost steam in the second half. I like Davidson to come out firing in this one as well. If they can avoid mistakes and keep their shooting percentage up the Wildcats should have the advantage here. 

Andrew Jett's Pick: Davidson Wildcats -6.5