Providence vs Florida Prediction 11/28/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Florida Gators and the Providence Friars meet Friday in college basketball action from the Jenny Craig Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida Gators vs. Providence Friars prediction.

Florida Gators Recap

The Florida Gators come into this game looking to bounce back from an 84-80 loss to TCU last time out to sit at 4-2 on the year.

Gators Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Thomas Haugh leads the Gators in scoring with 19 PPG along with 8.5 RPG and 3 APG while Alex Condon has 16.5 PPG with 8.5 RPG and 2.8 APG this season. Boogie Fland has 11.3 PPG with 3.3 RPG and 2.3 APG along with 2 SPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Florida up to this point in the year while Xaivian Lee has 9.5 PPG with 5.5 RPG and 5 APG to lead the Gators in assists and Rueben Chinyelu has 9.5 PPG with 9 RPG to lead Florida in rebounding. Micah Handlogten has 7.5 PPG with 8.8 RPG as well up to this point in the year. As a team, Florida is averaging 87.8 PPG on 44.2% shooting from the field, 23.7% from three and 66.4% from the foul line this season.

Providence Friars Recap

The Providence Friars come into this game looking to bounce back from a 104-83 loss at the hands of Wisconsin last time out to sit at 4-3 this season. 

Friars Have Two-Game Win Streak Stopped

Jason Edwards leads the Friars in scoring and assists with 20.4 PPG and 4.6 APG along with 3.4 RPG while Jaylin Sellers has 16.6 PPG with 3.8 RPG. Stefan Vaaks has 14.8 PPG and Corey Floyd Jr. has 12 PPG with 3.3 RPG and 2.3 APG. Ryan Mela has 11 PPG with 6.8 RPG and Jamier Jones has 10 PPG with 3.2 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Providence so far this season. Oswin Erhunmwunse has 6.6 PPG with a team-high 8.6 RPG to lead Providence in rebounding up to this point in the year. As a team, Providence is averaging 96.4 PPG on 49.7% shooting from the field, 33.6% from three and 78.9% from the foul line this season. 

Florida Gators @ Providence Friars Betting Trends: November 28, 2025

Why the Providence Friars will win

• Florida has lost three of its last four games against the Big East Conference.
• Providence has won the first half in three of its last four day games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Florida Gators will win

• Providence has lost each of its last nine Friday games played at neutral venues.
• Florida has won 22 of its last 24 games against non-Conference opponents.
• Providence has lost the first half in 15 of its last 16 games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Florida’s last 11 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 164 or fewer points.
• Each of Providence’s last nine games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 160 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Providence ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (69.6).
• Providence ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (67.4).
• Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (48.7).
• Florida ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (60.0%).

Florida Gators vs. Providence Friars Prediction

I’m on Florida here. I just don’t think that Providence has the horses to hang with the Gators for a full 40 minutes and that was a game that Florida had handily against TCU before collapsing down the stretch and I’ sure Todd Golden laid into his guys as they haven’t necessarily looked the part of a defending champion through their first six games. Give me Florida for the bounce back here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Florida -10.5