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Portland State vs Sacramento State Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/4/25

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Sacramento State (4-9) vs Portland State (8-5)

January 4, 2025 at 04:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Sacramento State +5.5 / Portland State -5.5 — Over/Under: 141.5

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The Portland State Vikings are visiting the Sacramento State Hornets on Saturday, January 4th at The Nest. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Portland State Vikings vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction. We will examine:

The Sacramento State Hornets’ recent form and player performance

The Portland State Vikings’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Sacramento State Hornets

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Portland State Vikings

Recent betting trends in games played between Portland State Vikings and Sacramento State Hornets

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Portland State Vikings vs Sacramento State Hornets game

Sacramento State Hornets Preview

The Sacramento State Hornets have a 4-9 record this season and are sitting in the 10th place of the Big Sky. Sacramento State is coming off a 78-38 win over Bethesda. The Hornets are 3-6-1 against the spread, and 2-8 in over/under while having a 3-4 home record. 

Offensively, Sacramento State is averaging 68.3 points per game, which ranks 323rd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65.2 points per game (45th). The Hornets shoot 44.3% from the field (227th) and 34.5% from beyond the arc (151st). The Hornets shoot 65.6% from the free-throw line (321st) and are grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game (202nd).

Jacob Holt leads Sacramento State in scoring with an average of 16.3 points and a team-high 6.4 rebounds, while Julian Vaughns adds 10.1 points and 3.1 rebounds. Sacramento State will face Idaho following this one.

Portland State Vikings Preview

The Portland State Vikings have an 8-5 record this season and are sitting in 9th place in the Big Sky. Portland State is coming off a 96-39 win over Walla Walla. The Vikings are 5-5 against the spread, and 7-3 in over/under while having a 3-3 road record.

Offensively, Portland State is averaging 83.4 points per game, which ranks 40th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 74.1 points per game (256th). The Vikings shoot 49.8% from the field (21st) and 33.6% from beyond the arc (216th). The Vikings shoot 63.4% from the free throw line (354th) and are grabbing 37.5 rebounds per game (129th).

Jaylin Henderson leads Portland State in scoring this season, with an average of 15 points, while Isiah Johnson adds 11 points and a team-high 6.1 rebounds. Portland State will meet Eastern Washington after this game.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

  • Sacramento State has won each of its last five day games at The Nest following a home win.
  • Portland State has lost six of its last seven games at The Nest.
  • The home team has won the first half in six of Portland State’s last seven games.

Why the Portland State Vikings will win

  • Portland State has won each of its last four games.
  • Sacramento State has lost six of its last seven home games against the Big Sky Conference.
  • Portland State has won the first half in each of its last four day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Portland State Vikings vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction

Sacramento State is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against Portland State, and are 3-1 against the spread. Over/under is 5-5 in their last 10 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Sacramento State won 73-61 at home, covering the spread as the game went over the total. In this Portland State Vikings vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction, Portland State is coming as -5.5 road favorites. Portland State is better offensively, scoring 15.1 points more than Sacramento State, while Sacramento State is better defensively, allowing 8.9 points less. The Vikings are winning by an average of 9.3 points this season, while the Hornets are winning by an average of 3.1 points. The Hornets are the inferior team in this matchup and have been struggling lately with a 3-7 record in their last 10 games, and have been very inefficient in covering spreads this season, with just 3-6-1. I expect the guests to get away with the win and cover, so pick the Portland State Vikings and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Portland State Vikings -5.5

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