| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-16 | 19-5 |
| Spread | +11.5 -110 | -11.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +500 | -700 |
| Total | Over 144.5 (-110) | Under 144.5 (-110) |
| Where | Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC | |
| When | Saturday, February 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
North Carolina Tar Heels Preview
The North Carolina Tar Heels have a 19-5 overall record this season and a 7-4 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 75-66 road loss against Miami and their previous four games were a 71-68 home win against Duke, an 87-77 home win against Syracuse, a 91-75 road win against Georgia Tech and an 85-80 road win against Virginia.
Offensively, North Carolina averages 81.9 points per game, while allowing 70.7 points per game defensively. The Tar Heels shoot with 48% from the field and grab 39.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.8 assists per game. They average 3.6 blocks per game and 5.8 steals per game defensively.
Caleb Wilson leads North Carolina in scoring and rebounding, with an average of 19.8 points per game and 9.4 rebounds per game, while shooting with 57.8% from the field and 71.3% from the free throw line. Kyan Evans leads the team in assists made with 3 per game.
Pittsburgh Panthers Preview
The Pittsburgh Panthers have a 9-16 overall record this season and a 2-10 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 70-54 home loss against Duke and their previous four games were an 86-67 home loss against SMU, a 67-47 road loss against Virginia, a 63-52 road loss against Clemson and an 80-76 home win against Wake Forest.
Offensively, Pittsburgh averages 70.1 points per game, while allowing 71.5 points per game defensively. The Panthers shoot with 43% from the field and grab 34.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13 assists per game. They average 3.3 blocks per game and 6.6 steals per game defensively.
Brandin Cummings leads the Panthers in scoring with an average of 12.5 points per game, while shooting with 42.4% from the field and 71.8% from the free throw line. Cameron Corhen is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.2 per game. Damarco Minor leads the team in assists made with 3.5 per game.
Pittsburgh Panthers @ North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends: February 14, 2026
Why the North Carolina Tar Heels will win
- North Carolina has won each of its last 19 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at Dean E. Smith Center.
- Pittsburgh has lost each of its last eight games against AP-ranked opponents.
- North Carolina has won the first half in each of its last 26 games at Dean E. Smith Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Pittsburgh Panthers will win
- North Carolina has lost four of its last five games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Pittsburgh has won three of its last four games at Dean E. Smith Center.
- North Carolina has lost the first half in three of its last four games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Prediction
In this Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Prediction, North Carolina is coming as -10.5 home favorites. North Carolina has been the far better team this season and have been undefeated in their 14 home games. They are 5-1 in their last 6 games and 4-2 against the spread and are facing a struggling Pitt squad that is 1-7 in its last 8 games and 2-6 against the spread. North Carolina has a superior offense, scoring 11.8 points per game more than Pitt and have a +11.2 point differential this season, so I expect them to dominate this game and cover the spread.