Pittsburgh vs NC State Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks

The Pitt Panthers are visiting the NC State Wolfpack on Wednesday, March 5th at the Lenovo Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pitt Panthers vs NC State Wolfpack Prediction. We will examine:

The NC State Wolfpack’s recent form and player performance

The Pitt Panthers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the NC State Wolfpack 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pitt Panthers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Pitt Panthers and NC State Wolfpack

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Pitt Panthers vs NC State Wolfpack game

NC State Wolfpack Preview

The NC State Wolfpack have an 11-18 record this season and are sitting in 16th place on the Atlantic Coast. NC State is coming off a 62-87 loss to Georgia Tech. The Wolfpack are 9-20 against the spread, and 12-17 in over/under while having a 11-6 home record.

Offensively, NC State is averaging 69.6 points per game, which ranks 296th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.6 points per game (140th). The Wolfpack shoot 42.7% from the field (294th) and 32% from beyond the arc (292nd). The Wolfpack shoot 71.8% from the free-throw line (199th) and are grabbing 32 rebounds per game (325th).

Marcus Hill leads NC State in scoring with an average of 11.7 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Jayden Taylor adds 11.1 points and 2.9 rebounds per game.

Pitt Panthers Preview

The Pitt Panthers have a 16-13 record this season and are sitting in 12th place in the ACC. Pitt is coming off a 68-79 loss to Louisville. The Panthers are 12-16-1 against the spread, and 15-12-2 in over/under while having a 3-8 road record. 

Offensively, Pitt is averaging 76.5 points per game, which ranks 111th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.5 points per game (168th). The Panthers shoot 45.3% from the field (150th) and 34.9% from beyond the arc (135th). The Panthers shoot 78.2% from the free-throw line, which is the 21st-best in the nation, and are grabbing 33.4 rebounds per game (287th).

Jaland Lowe leads Pitt in scoring with an average of 16.7 points, 4.2 rebounds, and a team-high 5.3 assists, while Ishmael Leggett adds 16.3 points and 5.8 rebounds per game. Pittsburgh will face Boston College following this one.

Why the NC State Wolfpack will win

• Pittsburgh has lost seven of its last eight road games.
• The home team has won seven of NC State’s last eight games.
• Pittsburgh has lost the first half in each of its last eight night games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Why the Pittsburgh Panthers will win

• NC State has lost each of its last seven night games.
• Pittsburgh has won each of its last four games against NC State.
• NC State has lost the first half in each of its last seven night games against the Atlantic Coast Conference at Lenovo Center.

Total Points Facts

• Six of Pittsburgh’s last seven road games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 146+ points.
• Four of the last five games between Pittsburgh and NC State have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• NC State ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.1).
• NC State ranks 355th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (76.6%).
• Pittsburgh ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.2%).
• Pittsburgh ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.3).

Pitt Panthers vs NC State Wolfpack Prediction

Pitt is 4-0 in their 4 meetings against NC State and is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Under is 4-0 in their 4 meetings in NC State, and in their most recent meeting last season, Pitt won 81-73 at home, covering the spread, and the game went over the point total.

In this Pitt Panthers vs NC State Wolfpack Prediction, Pitt is coming as -3.5 road favorites. Pitt is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, but they have been bad on the road. Both teams are struggling lately, as the Wolfpack is 2-8 in their last 10 games and 2-7 against the spread in their last 9, while the Panthers are 2-7 in their last 9 games and 0-5-1 against the spread in their last 6. NC State has been terrible offensively this season, ranking in the bottom 70 of the nation in points scored and in both shooting percentages. Pitt is 5-2 to the under in their last 7 games, so I expect a low-scoring affair in this one. Take the under.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 141.5