| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Panthers | NC State Wolfpack |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 13-19 | 19-12 |
| Spread | +9.5 -112 | -9.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +340 | -440 |
| Total | Over 145.5 (-105) | Under 145.5 (-115) |
| Where | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY | |
| When | Wednesday, March 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
NC State Wolfpack Preview
The NC State Wolfpack have a 19-12 overall record and a 10-8 record in the ACC conference. They are coming off an 85-84 home loss against Stanford and their previous three games were a 93-64 home loss against Duke, a 96-90 road loss against Notre Dame and a 90-61 road loss against Virginia.
Offensively, NC State averages 83.5 points per game, while allowing 76 points per game defensively. The Wolfpack shoot with 47% from the field and grab 35 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.7 assists per game. They average 3.3 blocks per game and 8.2 steals per game defensively.
Darrion Williams leads NC State in scoring, with an average of 14 points per game, while shooting with 41.2% from the field and 77.4% from the free throw line. Ven-Allen Lubin is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.1 per game. Quadir Copeland leads the team in assists with 6.6 per game.
Pittsburgh Panthers Preview
The Pittsburgh Panthers have a 13-19 overall record and a 5-13 record in the ACC conference. They are coming off a 64-63 home win against Stanford and their previous three games were a 71-69 road win against Syracuse, a 75-74 home loss against Florida State and a 72-56 road win against California.
Offensively, Pittsburgh averages 70 points per game, while allowing 71 points per game defensively. The Panthers shoot with 44% from the field and grab 34.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.2 assists per game. They average 3.1 blocks per game and 6.7 steals per game defensively.
Cameron Corhen leads Pittsburgh in scoring, with an average of 13.2 points per game, while shooting with 52.4% from the field and 68.1% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.8 rebounds. Damarco Minor leads the team in assists with 3.4 per game.
Pittsburgh Panthers @ NC State Wolfpack Betting Trends: March 11, 2026
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- NC State has won each of its last six games against Conference opponents at neutral venues.
- Pittsburgh has lost three of its last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- NC State has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Pittsburgh Panthers will win
- Pittsburgh has won seven of its last eight day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- NC State has lost each of its last four games.
- NC State has lost the first half in eight of its last 10 day games played at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Each of NC State’s last 11 games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 150+ points.
- Each of Pittsburgh’s last six day games have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- NC State ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.7%).
- NC State ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.3).
- Pittsburgh ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (76.4%).
- Pittsburgh ranks T45th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (17.1).
Pittsburgh vs NC State Prediction
In this Pittsburgh vs NC State Prediction, NC State is coming as -8.5 favorites. NC State has been the better team this season but have been struggling mightily lately, as they are 1-6 in their last 7 games and 1-8 against the spread. On the flip side, Pitt is 3-1 in its last 4 and 4-0 against the spread and are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 head-to-head matches against NC State, so I expect them to keep this elimination game close. Take Pitt and get the +8.5 points in this one.