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Pepperdine vs St. Mary’s Prediction 3/10/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

St. Mary's (27-4) vs Pepperdine (13-21)

March 10, 2025 at 09:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: St. Mary's -20.5 — Over/Under: 136.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Pepperdine Waves and St. Mary’s Gaels meet on Monday in college basketball action at Orleans Arena. Here’s a Pepperdine vs St. Mary’s prediction. This article will include a Pepperdine vs St. Mary’s Pick.

Pepperdine Waves Betting Preview

The Pepperdine Waves (13-21, 16-17 ATS) are surely one of the biggest surprises of the post-regular season. They shocked the country by winning three consecutive games in three days to reach the WCC semifinals. After finishing the regular season with five straight defeats and eight out of nine games, nobody believed the Waves could get past Portland in the second round of the WCC tourney. However, Pepperdine beat Portland and then Oregon State and No. 4 Santa Clara.

Pepperdine is averaging 73.4 PPG (209th) and is allowing 76.7 PPG (309th). The Waves are getting 35.5 RPG (191st) and dish out 15.9 APG (60th). Stefan Todorovic is the team’s top performer with 18.5 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 2.2 APG, and 1.0 SPG. Moe Odum has 12.8 PPG, 3.1 RPG, a team-high 7.5 APG, and a team-high 1.3 SPG, while Boubacar Coulibaly contributes 9.7 PPG, a team-high 7.0 RPG, and a team-high 1.6 BPG.

St. Mary’s Gaels Betting Preview

The St. Mary’s Gaels (27-4, 14-16 ATS) closed out the regular season in style with seven straight wins, and now have won 17 of the previous 18 games, with the only loss coming to San Francisco. With just one conference defeat, St. Mary’s is a dominant force in the WCC, finishing as the No. 1 seed with three wins ahead of Gonzaga and even 13 more than its next opponent Pepperdine.

St. Mary’s averages 74.2 PPG (176th) and allows 60.8 PPG (5th). The Gaels are 25th in rebounds (39.5) and 66th in assists (15.8). Augustas Marciulionis leads the team with 14.4 PPG, 2.8 RPG, a team-high 6.1 APG, and a team-high 1.4 SPG. Paulius Murauskas follows him with 12.8 PPG and a team-high 8.1 RPG, while Mitchell Saxen chips in 10.4 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 1.3 SPG, and a team-high 1.2 BPG.

Pepperdine vs St. Mary’s Prediction

With all due respect to Pepperdine, they have no chance against St. Mary’s on Monday. Not only that the Gaels been dominant this year and are a much better team, but the Waves played three games in three days, and I believe they reached their maximum here. St. Mary’s won nine of the previous ten H2H encounters and is on an eight-game winning streak over Pepperdine. St. Mary’s beat Pepperdine in both games this season and covered both, while the Gales now covered seven straight H2Hs. I am backing the Gaels.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: St. Mary's -19.5

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