Arizona (23-12) vs Oregon (25-9)
Game Info: Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 9:40 pm (Climate Pledge Arena)
The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona -3.5 — Over/Under: 152.5
In this article, we will formulate an Oregon vs Arizona prediction for this College Basketball game on Sunday, March 23 at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the 2nd Round of the NCAA Tournament. The winner of this game will meet Duke or Baylor in the Sweet 16.
Oregon Ducks Betting Preview
The Oregon Ducks (25-9, 16-17-1 ATS) were in excellent form late in the season as they recorded seven straight wins to secure the No. 8 seed for the Big Ten tournament. The Ducks beat Indiana 72-59 in the second round but couldn’t do much against Michigan State in the quarterfinals. Oregon had some good wins throughout the season and deserved its place in the NCAA tournament, where the Ducks destroyed Liberty 81-52 in the first round.
Oregon averages 76.4 PPG (113th) and allows 70.4 PPG (129th). The Ducks are 175th in rebounds (35.8) and 130th in assists (14.5). Nate Bittle leads the team with 14.1 PPG, 7.5 RPG, and 2.2 BPG. Jackson Shelstad follows him with 13.4 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 2.7 APG, and 1.0 APG, while TJ Bamba chips in 10.3 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 3.0 APG, and 1.8 SPG.
Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview
The Arizona Wildcats (23-12, 19-16 ATS) have been in a hot and cold form lately as they lost five of the final eight games of the regular season. The Wildcats entered the Big 12 tournament as the No. 3 seed, which allowed them to skip the opening two rounds. Arizona defeated Kansas in the quarterfinals and Texas Tech in the semis to reach the finals, where Houston was better 72-64.
Arizona is averaging 82.1 PPG (21st) and is allowing 72.2 PPG (195th). The Wildcats are getting 40.0 RPG (20th) and dish out 16.4 APG (37th). Caleb Love is the team’s top performer with 16.4 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 3.5 APG, and 1.2 SPG. Jaden Bradley has 12.0 PPG, 3.4 RPG, a team-high 3.7 APG, and a team-high 1.8 SPG, while KJ Lewis contributes 10.9 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 3.0 APG, and 1.4 SPG.
Why Oregon will win
- Oregon has won 14 of its last 15 games against non-conference opponents.
- Arizona has lost each of its last three games against the Big Ten Conference.
- Arizona has lost the first half in three of its last four NCAA Tournament games against Top 8 Seeds.
Why Arizona will win
- Arizona has won 14 of its last 15 night games played at neutral venues.
- Oregon has lost each of its last four NCAA Tournament night games against a higher seed.
- Oregon has lost the first half in each of its last four NCAA Tournament night games against Top 8 Seeds.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Oregon’s last four games at a neutral venue has produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
- Each of Arizona’s last four night games at a neutral venue has produced a total of 161+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arizona ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (55.1%).
- Arizona ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.3%).
Oregon Ducks vs Arizona Prediction
Oregon won six of the previous ten H2H meetings but Arizona was better in four of the last six. Eight of the past ten H2H encounters went Over, including six of the last seven. Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of its last 37 games, while Oregon has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of its previous 35 games. I am backing both to score 75+ points here, which should be enough for at least 153 total points. Expect a close duel that could go down to the wire, with overtime as a possibility as well.