Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction 3/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Feb 28, 2026; College Station, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns guard Dailyn Swain (3) controls the ball during the first half as Texas A&M Aggies guard Rylan Griffen (3) defends at Reed Arena. Mandatory Credit: Maria Lysaker-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Ole Miss Rebels
Texas Longhorns
Team Records
12-19
18-13
Spread
+6.5 -112
-6.5 -108
Moneyline
+220
-270
Total
Over 145.5 (-112)
Under 145.5 (-108)
Where
Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
When
Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Time
07:00 PM EDT
TV
SEC Network
The Ole Miss Rebels and the Texas Longhorns meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Bridgestone Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhorns prediction.
Ole Miss Rebels Recap
The Ole Miss Rebels come into this game as the 14-seed, finishing the year with an overall record of 12-19 including a 4-14 mark in SEC conference play.
Rebels Looking To Spring Upset
AJ Storr leads the Rebels in scoring with 15 PPG and 3.2 RPG while Malik Dia has 14.1 PPG with 5.8 RPG to lead the Rebels in rebounding. Ilias Kamardine has 11 PPG with 3.3 RPG and a team-high 3.8 APG to lead the Rebels in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Ole Miss up to this point in the year. Patton Pinkins has 9.4 PPG and Kezza Giffa has 6.5 PPG up to this point in the year. As a team, Ole Miss is averaging 75.3 PPG on 44.2% shooting from the field, 33% from three and 75.1% from the foul line this season.
Texas Longhorns Recap
The Texas Longhorns come into the conference tournament as the 10-seed, finishing with an 18-13 overall record including a 9-9 mark in SEC play.
Longhorns Hoping To Strengthen Hold On At Large Bid
Dailyn Swain leads the Longhorns across the board with 17.7 PPG, 7.5 RPG and 3.4 APG while Matas Vokietaitis has 15.7 PPG with 6.9 RPG as well this season. Tramon Mark has 13.7 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 1.9 APG and Jordan Pope has 13.3 PPG with 2.1 RPG and 1.9 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Texas up to this point in the year. As a team, Texas is averaging 84.4 PPG on 49% shooting from the field, 35.3% from three and 74.9% from the foul line so far this season.
Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas Longhorns Betting Trends: March 11, 2026
Why the Texas Longhorns will win
Ole Miss has lost 12 of its last 13 games.
Texas has won 11 of its last 14 night games after coming off overtime.
Texas has won the first half in 29 of its last 31 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win
Texas has lost each of its last four games after coming off overtime.
Ole Miss has won the first half in each of its last four night games.
Total Points Facts
Each of Texas’ last 23 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 148+ points.
Each of Ole Miss’ last seven night games have produced a total of 150+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
Texas ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.8).
Texas ranks T7th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (26.4).
Ole Miss ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.5%).
Ole Miss ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.8).
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhorns Prediction
I’m on Texas here. I just haven’t liked what I’ve seen from Ole Miss this season, and I think the Longhorns are the better team by a fair margin, even though I think the Longhorns could be a bit of a fraud in the grand scheme of things. I think Texas gets Ole Miss here and ends the Rebels’ season. Give me Texas.
