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Oklahoma vs Texas Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks

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Texas (17-13) vs Oklahoma (18-12)

March 8, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas -5.5 — Over/Under: 154.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Oklahoma Sooners and Texas Longhorns meet on Saturday in college basketball action at Moody Center. Here’s an Oklahoma vs Texas prediction. This article will include an Oklahoma vs Texas Pick.

Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview

The Oklahoma Sooners (18-12, 15-15 ATS) cannot catch a breath in 2025. After opening the season with 13 consecutive wins, Oklahoma is struggling in 2025, winning just five of 17 games. The Sooners managed to snap a five-game losing skid with a victory over Mississippi State, but then lost the next two to Kentucky and Ole Miss. And when nobody expected, Oklahoma defeated the ranked Missouri Tigers in the most recent game. Oklahoma is 14th in the SEC Standings with three wins ahead of the last-placed South Carolina and ten behind the No. 1 seed Auburn.

Oklahoma is averaging 78.7 PPG (88th) and is allowing 74.6 PPG (265th). The Sooners are getting 32.2 RPG (369th) and dish out 13.8 APG (197th). Jalon Moore is the team’s top performer with 16.4 PPG and a team-high 5.7 RPG. Jeremiah Fears adds 16.4 PPG, 4.1 RPG, a team-high 4.2 APG, and a team-high 1.6 SPG, while Duke Miles contributes 9.9 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 2.2 APG, and 1.5 SPG.

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview

The Texas Longhorns (17-13, 14-15-1 ATS) are also struggling in recent weeks. They lost six of the previous eight games, but interestingly, those two wins came against ranked teams Kentucky and Mississippi State. In the meantime, the Longhorns were on a three-game losing skid on two occasions. Texas is 13th in the SEC Standings with a win ahead of Oklahoma and nine games behind the leaders Auburn Tigers. 

Texas averages 78.3 PPG (76th) and allows 71.2 PPG (154th). The Longhorns are 184th in rebounds (35.7) and 236th in assists (13.3). Tre Johnson leads the team with 20.6 PPG, 3.1 RPG, and 2.7 APG. Arthur Kaluma follows him with 12.7 PPG, a team-high 8.0 RPG, 2.0 APG, and 1.0 BPG, while Jordan Pope has 10.6 PPG and a team-high 1.1 SPG.

Why Texas will beat Oklahoma

  • Texas has won each of its last eight games against Oklahoma.
  • Oklahoma has lost seven of its last eight road games.
  • Texas has won the first half in 22 of its last 25 games at Moody Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas ranks T35th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (10.1).
  • Texas ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.9%).
  • Oklahoma ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (79.8%).
  • Oklahoma ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (60.3%).

Oklahoma vs Texas Prediction

Both rivals are considered on the bubble for participation in the NCAA Tournament, so this game is quite significant for each side to boost their chances. Texas won nine of the previous ten H2H encounters and was victorious in each of the last eight, including the first meeting of the season when the Longhorns won 77-73 at Oklahoma. While they are not impressing at home lately, I am still going with the Longhorns to beat the Sooners who lost seven of the last eight on the road and are on a five-game losing skid on the road. Texas will have its guard Chendall Weaver back from injury – another boost for the hosts. Oklahoma has only covered the Spread in 4 of its last 11 away games. Go with Texas to win and cover.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Texas -4.5

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