Oklahoma State vs UCF Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are visiting the UCF Knights on Wednesday, March 5th at the Addition Financial Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UCF Knights Prediction. We will examine:

The UCF Knights’ recent form and player performance

The Oklahoma State Cowboys’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UCF Knights

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Oklahoma State Cowboys

Recent betting trends in games played between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and UCF Knights

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UCF Knights game

UCF Knights Preview

The UCF Knights have a 15-14 record this season and are sitting in 14th place in the Big 12. UCF is coming off a 78-89 loss to TCU. The Knights are 12-17 against the spread, and 17-10-2 in over/under, while having a 12-5 home record. 

Offensively, UCF is averaging 78.9 points per game, which is 61st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 80.4 points per game (351st). The Knights shoot 42.1% from the field (322nd) and 32.9% from beyond the arc (241st). The Knights shoot 77.7% from the free-throw line (23rd) and are grabbing 36.3 rebounds per game (124th).

Keyshawn Hall leads UCF in scoring with an average of 18.9 points and a team-high 7 rebounds, while Darius Johnson adds 15.4 points, 3.2 rebounds, and a team-high 4.2 assists per game.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Preview

The Oklahoma State Cowboys have a 14-15 record this season and are sitting in 13th place in the Big 12. The Cowboys are coming off a 61-71 loss to Baylor. The Cowboys are 13-16 against the spread, and 15-14 in over/under while having a 2-9 road record.

Offensively, Oklahoma State is averaging 72.7 points per game, which ranks 221st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 76.2 points per game (302nd). The Cowboys shoot 42.5% from the field (304th) and 31.6% from beyond the arc (309th). The Cowboys shoot 72.4% from the free throw line (171st) and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game (202nd).

Bryce Thompson leads Oklahoma State in scoring this season, with an average of 12.6 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Abou Ousmane adds 12.1 points and a team-high 5.4 rebounds per game. Oklahoma State will meet Cincinnati after this game. 

Why the UCF Knights will win

• Oklahoma State has lost each of its last seven road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• The home team has won 10 of Oklahoma State’s last 11 games.
• Oklahoma State has lost the first half in each of its last seven road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys will win

• UCF has lost five of its last six night games.
• UCF has lost the first half in six of its last eight games against the Big 12 Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Sixty-five of Oklahoma State’s last 67 night games have produced a total of 165 or fewer points.
• Thirty-one of UCF’s last 33 games at Addition Financial Arena have produced a total of 160 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• UCF ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.4).
• UCF ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (71.8).
• Oklahoma State ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.8).
• Oklahoma State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.6).

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UCF Knights Prediction

UCF is 3-1 in their 4 meetings against Oklahoma State but both teams are tied 2-2 against the spread. Over is 3-1 in their 4 meetings, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, Oklahoma State won 104-95 at home, covering the spread, and the game went over the point total.

In this Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UCF Knights Prediction, UCF is coming as a -5.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical records this season, but the Knights have been very good at home, while the Cowboys have been terrible on the road. UCF has been struggling lately, as they are 2-8 in their last 10 games and 1-8 against the spread in their last 9, while the Cowboys are 7-2 against the spread in their last 9 games. Oklahoma State has already won UCF this season, and given both teams’ current form, I expect them to do so again on the road. Take the Oklahoma State Cowboys and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Oklahoma State Cowboys +5.5