Oklahoma State vs TCU Prediction 3/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Oklahoma State Cowboys and the TCU Horned Frogs meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the T-Mobile Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs prediction.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Recap

The Oklahoma State Cowboys come into this game looking to add on to their 83-79 win over Baylor last time out.

Cowboys Looking For Another Upset

Anthony Roy leads the Cowboys in scoring with 17 PPG along with 3.9 RPG while Vyctorius Miller has 11.2 PPG with 2.8 RPG. Jaylen Curry has 10.3 PPG with 3.1 RPG and 3.7 APG up to this point in the year. Parsa Fallah has 14.7 PPG with 6 RPG to lead the Cowboys in rebounding and Kanye Clary has 10 PPG with 2.9 RPG and a team-high 4.7 APG to lead the Cowboys in assists. Christian Coleman also has 5.3 RPG as well this season. As a team, Oklahoma State is averaging 84.2 PPG on 45.9% shooting from the field, 34.1% shooting from three and 74.7% from the foul line this season.

TCU Horned Frogs Recap

The TCU Horned Frogs come into this game as the 6-seed, finishing the year with a record of 21-10 overall including 11-7 in conference play. 

Horned Frogs Looking For Season Sweep Of Oklahoma State

David Punch leads the Horned Frogs in scoring and rebounding with 13.9 PPG and 6.6 RPG while Jayden Pierre has 10 PPG with 2.1 RPG and 2.6 APG and Xavier Edmonds has 12.7 PPG with 6.6 RPG. Micah Robinson has 10.6 PPG with 4.8 RPG as well this season to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for TCU up to this point in the year. Brock Harding has 8.3 PPG with 2.9 RPG and a team-high 5.9 APG to lead the Horned Frogs in assists. As a team, TCU is averaging 78.3 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field, 33.1% from three and 70.7% from the foul line this season. 

Oklahoma State Cowboys @ TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends: March 11, 2026

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• TCU has won each of its last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Oklahoma State has lost each of its last three games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• TCU has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys will win

• Oklahoma State has won each of its last four night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• TCU has lost four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Oklahoma State has won the first half in five of its last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of TCU’s last 15 games at T-Mobile Center have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
• Fourteen of Oklahoma State’s last 15 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 161+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• TCU ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.2).
• TCU ranks T40th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (12.0).
• Oklahoma State ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (73.4).
• Oklahoma State ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (64.2).

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs Prediction

I’m on Oklahoma State and the points here. TCU won each of the first two meetings this season, but they only won each meeting by 3 points and I think with Oklahoma State already having a game under their belts and their tournament lives at stake here, I think we see another all-out effort from the Cowboys here, who I think are better than their seeding in this tournament would indicate. I much prefer TCU as a dog, so I’ll take the Cowboys and the points here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Oklahoma State +5.5