| MATCHUP | Ohio State Buckeyes | Penn State Nittany Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 18-11 | 12-17 |
| Spread | -7.5 -115 | +7.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | -340 | +270 |
| Total | Over 153.5 (-110) | Under 153.5 (-110) |
| Where | Bryce Jordan Center, University Park, PA | |
| When | Wednesday, March 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | Peacock | |
In this article, we will formulate an Ohio State vs Penn State Prediction for this college basketball matchup on Wednesday, March 4th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Penn State Nittany Lions Preview
The Penn State Nittany Lions have a 12-17 overall record and a 3-15 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 71-69 home win against Iowa and their previous three games were an 87-64 road loss against Nebraska, an 85-72 home loss against Rutgers and an 83-72 road loss against Oregon.
Offensively, Penn State averages 74.8 points per game, while allowing 79.1 points per game defensively. The Nittany Lions shoot with 47% from the field and grab 29.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.6 assists per game. They average 1.7 blocks per game and 7.1 steals per game defensively.
Freddie Dilione V leads Penn State in scoring, with an average of 14 points per game, while shooting with 47.2% from the field and 84.1% from the free throw line. Ivan Juric is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.4 per game. Kayden Mingo leads the team in assists with 4.3 per game.
Ohio State Buckeyes Preview
The Ohio State Buckeyes have an 18-11 overall record and a 10-8 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off an 82-74 home win against Purdue and their previous three games were a 74-57 road loss against Iowa, a 66-60 road loss against Michigan State and an 86-69 home win against Wisconsin.
Offensively, Ohio State averages 79.6 points per game, while allowing 73.2 points per game defensively. The Buckeyes shoot with 49% from the field and grab 34 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.2 assists per game. They average 2.5 blocks per game and 4.9 steals per game defensively.
Bruce Thornton leads Ohio State in scoring, with an average of 20 points per game, while shooting with 54.5% from the field and 81.6% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3.7 assists. Devin Royal is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.6 per game.
Ohio State Buckeyes @ Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Trends: March 4, 2026
Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win
- The home team has won each of Ohio State’s last four games.
- Ohio State has lost each of its last four away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- Penn State has won the first half in 25 of its last 32 games at Bryce Jordan Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Ohio State Buckeyes will win
- Penn State has lost 10 of its last 11 night games against Conference opponents.
- Ohio State has won seven of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Ohio State has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against Penn State.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Ohio State’s last nine road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
- Seven of Penn State’s last eight games against Conference opponents at Bryce Jordan Center have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
Ohio State vs Penn State Prediction
In this Ohio State vs Penn State Prediction, Ohio State is coming as -7.5 road favorites. Ohio State has been the better team this season and has been also better against the spread but have been unstable lately, alternating wins and losses for more than one month now. Penn State has been struggling with a 3-7 record in its last 10 games, so I see no value on either side. Both teams are 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games combined and Penn State’s offense has been on a free fall lately, having scored 72 points or less in each of their last five matches. Take the under 155.5 points in this one.