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Northwestern State vs McNeese Prediction 3/11/25 College Basketball Picks

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McNeese (25-6) vs Northwestern State (16-15)

March 11, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: McNeese -12.5 — Over/Under: 130.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Northwestern State vs McNeese prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, March 11th at the Legacy Center in Lake Charles, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Northwestern State Demons Betting Preview

The Northwestern State Demons are 16-15 (12-8) this year after they defeated Texas A&M-CC by a score of 66-63 in their last game. Northwestern State led 38-28 at halftime and they were able to get the win, despite only scoring 28 points in the second half. The Demons shot 38.5% from the field, 54.5% on three-pointers, and 70% on free throws in the game. Love Bettis led Northwestern State with 17 points and three assists, while Micah Thomas added 15 points and three assists in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Demons defeated Incarnate Word by a score of 73-57 and Houston Christian by a score of 61-56. Northwestern State has won five games in a row and they finished tied for fourth in the Southland standings with a 12-8 record. Northwestern State has scored 68.9 points per game and they have allowed 68 points per game, while also averaging 35.8 rebounds and 13.4 assists per game this season. Addison Patterson is averaging 13.3 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 3.1 assists per game, while Micah Thomas is averaging 11.9 points, 2.0 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game this year. Northwestern State is shooting 44.1% from the field, 71.6% on free throws, and 35.2% on three-pointers this season. 

McNeese Cowboys Betting Preview

The McNeese Cowboys are 25-6 (19-1) this season after they defeated SFA by a score of 95-64 in their last game. McNeese led 46-37 at halftime and poured in 49 points in the second half for the blowout win. The Cowboys shot 50.8% from the field, 52% on three-pointers, and 80% on free throws in the game. Sincere Parker led McNeese with 22 points and six rebounds, while Joe Charles added 15 points and nine rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Cowboys defeated Lamar by a score of 68-66 and UT Rio Grande Valley by a score of 100-65. McNeese has won nine games in a row and they finished first in the Southland standings with a 19-1 record. McNeese has scored 77.5 points per game and they have allowed 64.4 points per game, while also averaging 36.5 rebounds and 14.3 assists per game this season. Javohn Garcia is averaging 12.6 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game, while Sincere Parker is averaging 12.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 0.8 steals per game this year. McNeese is shooting 47.9% from the field, 70.4% on free throws, and 35.7% on three-pointers this season. 

Why McNeese State will beat Northwestern State

  • McNeese State has won each of its last 22 home games against Conference opponents.
  • Northwestern State has lost 15 of its last 16 Tuesday road games.
  • Northwestern State has lost the first half in four of its last five road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Twenty-five of the last 28 games between Northwestern State and McNeese State have produced a total of 131+ points.
  • Each of Northwestern State’s last three games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 130 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • McNeese State ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (64.4).
  • McNeese State ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.1).

Northwestern State vs McNeese Prediction 

McNeese comes into this matchup after rolling through conference play during the regular season, where they lost just one game. The Cowboys are shooting nearly 48% from the field this year and they have allowed 66 points or fewer in four straight. Northwestern State has won five games in a row, but they are shooting just 44.1% from the field this year. The Demons have also played very solid defense in recent games, but McNeese is the much better offensive team. McNeese beat Northwestern State twice during the regular season by scores of 65-50 and 92-69. The Demons barely escaped from their game on Monday night and I think McNeese is going to run them out of the gym here. Take the Cowboys to win big. 

David Racey's Pick: McNeese -12.5

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