| MATCHUP | Northern Kentucky Norse | Green Bay Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 19-13 | 18-14 |
| Spread | -2.5 -112 | +2.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | -148 | +124 |
| Total | Over 145.5 (-108) | Under 145.5 (-112) |
| Where | Corteva Coliseum, Indianapolis, IN | |
| When | Sunday, March 8, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
The Northern Kentucky Norse and the Green Bay Phoenix meet Sunday in Horizon League Tournament college basketball action from Indiana Farmers Coliseum in Indianapolis. Here’s a Northern Kentucky vs Green Bay prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Northern Kentucky vs Green Bay pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.
Northern Kentucky Norse Betting Preview
In their first 20 games of the year the Norse managed a 14-6 overall record. Northern Kentucky would then hit a five-game losing streak in January/February. After that came a 5-2 run to close out the regular season. The wins during that time came versus Milwaukee, IUPUI, Fort Wayne, Cleveland State and Oakland. Over 32 games that would give the Norse a 19-13 overall run.
In the Oakland game on Wednesday the Norse came out of the locker room for the second half with a 37-31 edge. Northern Kentucky was outscored 53-48 the rest of the way however, and had to hang on for a wild 85-84 victory in the end. Donovan Oday led the team on 19 points with four rebounds, four assists and two steals in the winning effort for Northern Kentucky.
Green Bay Phoenix Betting Preview
Over on the Green Bay side, they were 11-8 after 19 games back on January 15. The Phoenix would lose four of the next five versus Oakland, Youngstown State, Cleveland State and Wright State though. It’s been a 6-2 stretch since then with wins over Northern Kentucky, Detroit, Fort Wayne, Oakland, Youngstown State and Fort Wayne again for an 18-14 overall run this year.
Matched up against Fort Wayne on Tuesday the Phoenix were looking good on the scoreboard as they walked off the court in the first half with a 34-22 edge. Green Bay was outscored 34-30 the rest of the way but held on for the victory in the end 64-56. Marcus Hall finished with 19 points and three boards while Justin Allen added 13 points, five rebounds and three assists.
Northern Kentucky Norse @ Green Bay Phoenix Betting Trends: March 8, 2026
Why the Green Bay Phoenix will win
- Green Bay has won six of its last eight games against Conference opponents.
Why the Northern Kentucky Norse will win
- Green Bay has lost nine of its last 11 games played at neutral venues.
- Northern Kentucky has won four of its last five games at Corteva Coliseum.
- Green Bay has lost the first half in four of its last five games played at neutral venues.
Matchup/League Facts
- Green Bay ranks T356th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (4.6).
- Green Bay ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (60.1%).
- Northern Kentucky ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.0).
- Northern Kentucky ranks 42nd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (27.7).
Northern Kentucky vs Green Bay Prediction
I’ll lean toward Green Bay but it’s a coin flip. The Phoenix were able to hold off a decent Fort Wayne team in their victory this week, shooting 46.8 percent from the field with just seven turnovers. The Phoenix held the Mastodons to just 40.4 percent shooting on defense and had 14 points off their six turnovers. Green Bay is 6-2 in the last eight games and they’ve scored 70 or more points in seven of those outings.
The Phoenix took both meetings between these teams this year: 80-78 at home on January 11 and 87-84 in overtime on February 4 in a road game. In that latest win Green Bay shot a nice 50 percent from the floor with a 36-27 rebounding edge. That said, the Phoenix did cough up 16 turnovers and that helped keep the game close. Green Bay needs to watch the miscues in this tournament matchup or they’re going home.