| MATCHUP | Northern Colorado Bears | Sacramento State Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 11-7 | 5-11 |
| Where | Hornet Pavilion, Sacramento, CA | |
| When | Saturday, January 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Sacramento State Hornets Preview
Sacramento State Hornets have a 5-11 record this season and are sitting in the 7th place of the Big Sky. They have a 5-1 home record and are coming off a 83-69 home win against Northern Arizona. Their previous three games were a 96-69 away loss against Portland State, a 95-82 away loss against Weber State and a 97-84 away loss against Idaho State.
Offensively, Sacramento State averages 77.3 points per game, while allowing 81.9 points per game defensively. The Hornets shoot with 41% from the field and grab 36.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.8 assists per game. They average 4.2 blocks per game and 6.9 steals per game defensively.
Mikey Williams leads Sacramento State in scoring, with an average of 17.8 points per game, while shooting with 37.8% from the field and 78.4% from the free throw line, and leads the team in assists with 4.7 per game. Prophet Johnson is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.2 per game.
Northern Colorado Bears Preview
Northern Colorado Bears have a 11-7 record this season and are sitting in the 9th place of the Big Sky. They have a 5-4 road record and are coming off a 76-73 away loss against Portland State. Their previous three games were a 76-71 home loss against Weber State, a 85-72 home win against Idaho State and an 88-79 away loss against Montana.
Offensively, Northern Colorado averages 84 points per game, while allowing 77.3 points per game defensively. The Bears shoot with 49% from the field and grab 36.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.3 assists per game. They average 1.8 blocks per game and 4.7 steals per game defensively.
Quinn Denker leads Northern Colorado in scoring, with an average of 17.4 points per game, while shooting with 48% from the field and 82.9% from the free throw line, and leads the team in assists with 6.7 per game. Brock Wisne is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.9 per game.
Northern Colorado Bears @ Sacramento State Hornets Betting Trends: January 17, 2026
Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win
- The home team has won each of Sacramento State’s last 13 games.
- Northern Colorado has lost five of its last six games against Conference opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in five of the last six games between Northern Colorado and Sacramento State.
Why the Northern Colorado Bears will win
- Sacramento State has lost each of its last 13 Saturday games.
- Northern Colorado has won eight of its last nine night games against Sacramento State.
- Sacramento State has lost the first half in each of its last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Forty-one of Sacramento State’s last 42 home night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
- Six of Northern Colorado’s last seven road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.
Northern Colorado vs Sacramento State Prediction
In this Northern Colorado vs Sacramento State Prediction, Northern Colorado is coming as -6 road favorites. Northern Colorado has been the better team this season as they have more than twice as many overall wins as Sacramento State and have been above average on the road. Both teams are coming into this matchup in poor form, as Sac State is 1-7 in its last 8 games and 1-4 against the spread, while Northern Colorado is 1-4 both straight up and against the spread in its last 5 games, so I see no value on either side. Both teams are 11-3 to the over in their last 14 games combined, with Northern Colorado having a top-30 offense in the whole nation. Take the over 162.5 points.