| MATCHUP | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | New Mexico Lobos |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Spread | +26.5 -110 | -26.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +3000 | -10000 |
| Total | Over 155.5 (-105) | Under 155.5 (-115) |
| Where | The Pit, Albuquerque, NM | |
| When | Saturday, November 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EST | |
| TV | MW+ | |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction
In my view, this matchup favors the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks to stay within the number (26.5). Why? New Mexico enters the 2026 season after posting an impressive 26-11 overall record, including a dominant 17-3 home record and a 13-7 mark in Mountain West Conference play. The Lobos were one of the better teams in the conference last season and consistently played their best basketball at home.The statistical comparison between these teams is difficult to ignore. New Mexico averaged 80.2 points per game, which ranked 52nd nationally, while allowing just 71.6 points per contest. Meanwhile, Northern Arizona struggled on both ends of the floor, averaging only 68.1 points per game while surrendering 77.6 points per contest, which ranked 257th nationally.
The Lumberjacks also struggled away from home, posting a dreadful 1-13 road record last season. That is particularly concerning when traveling to face a formidable New Mexico team on the road. With that said, I think the Lumberjacks can find a way to stay within 26.5 points. I am backing the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks plus the 26.5 points.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Betting Preview
The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks enter Saturday night’s season opener after posting a 10-22 overall record (9-7 home record, 1-13 mark on the road and a 4-14 Big Sky conference record) last season. Northern Arizona struggled throughout conference play and found it particularly difficult to compete away from home. The Lumberjacks won only one road game all season and finished near the bottom of the Big Sky conference standings.The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks averaged 68.1 points per game while allowing 77.6 points per contest, which ranked 257th nationally. What did we learn from the data just presented? The Lumberjacks had issues on both ends of the floor and consistently struggled to generate enough offense to overcome their defensive shortcomings.
Four days ago, The UNLV Rebels defeated the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 89-77 in both team’s season opener.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
The New Mexico Lobos enter Saturday night’s matchup after posting a 26-11 overall record (17-3 home record, 7-5 road record and 13-7 Mountain West Conference record) during the 2025 season.The Lobos were one of the better teams in the Mountain West and consistently demonstrated the ability to compete with quality opponents throughout the season. New Mexico’s success was fueled by a potent offense and a strong home court advantage.
The New Mexico Lobos averaged 80.2 points per game (52nd in nation) while allowing 71.6 points per contest last season. New Mexico possessed one of the better offensive attacks in the conference while remaining solid enough defensively to consistently win games.
Earlier this week, New Mexico opened the 2026 campaign with a dominant 100-60 victory over the Utah Tech Trailblazers.
Why the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Will Win
• Motivation. Northern Arizona enters the season looking to improve upon last year’s 10-22 record.• Home success. The Lumberjacks posted a respectable 9-7 home record in 2025.
Why the New Mexico Lobos Will Win
• Winning pedigree. New Mexico posted a 26-11 overall record last season.• Home court advantage. The Lobos compiled an outstanding 17-3 home record in 2025.
• Offensive firepower. New Mexico averaged 80.2 points per game, ranking 52nd nationally.
• Defensive edge. The Lobos allowed only 71.6 points per contest compared to 77.6 points allowed by Northern Arizona.
• Road struggles for opponent. Northern Arizona posted a 1-13 road record last season.

