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North Texas vs South Florida Prediction 2/23/25 College Basketball Picks

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South Florida (13-14) vs North Texas (19-6)

February 23, 2025 at 12:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: South Florida +4.5 — Over/Under: 130.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The North Texas Mean Green and the USF Bulls meet Sunday in college basketball action from the Yuengling Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a North Texas vs. USF prediction.

Matchup History

North Texas won the lone head-to-head meeting between these two teams on February 3rd, 2024, by a final score of 60-55 at home last season.

North Texas Recap

The North Texas Mean Green come into this game looking to add on to their 63-44 win over Tulsa last time out to improve to 19-6 on the year. After this game, North Texas will head on the road for a game against FAU.

Mean Green Win Three In A Row

Atin Wright leads the Mean Green in scoring with 13.8 PPG along with 2.4 RPG while Brenen Lorient has 12.1 PPG with 4.6 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for North Texas up to this point in the year. Johnathan Massie has 8.3 PPG with 4.9 RPG while Jasper Floyd has 7.7 PPG with 2.7 RPG and a team-high 3.9 APG as well on the year to lead the Mean Green in the assist department. Moulaye Sissoko has 8.1 PPG with a team-high 6.6 RPG to lead North Texas on the glass while Latrell Jossell has 7.2 PPG as well on the year. As a team, North Texas is averaging 68.3 PPG on 45.2% shooting from the field, 35.9% from three-point range, and 76.5% from the foul line this season.

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

  • North Texas has won seven of its last eight games following a home win.
  • South Florida has lost each of its last four day games.

USF Recap

The USF Bulls come into this game looking to build on their 78-73 win over UTSA last time out to improve to 13-14 on the year. After this game, USF will head on the road for a matchup with the Temple Owls.

Bulls Snap Three-Game Losing Skid

Jamille Reynolds leads the Bulls in scoring and rebounding with 13.2 PPG and 7.9 RPG while Jayden Reid has 12.2 PPG with a team-high 3.7 APG to lead the Bulls in the assist department so far this season. Kobe Knox has 11 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for USF so far this season. Brandon Stroud has 8.3 PPG with 4.8 RPG, Jimmie Williams has 7.4 PPG with 3 RPG and Kasen Jennings has 7.7 PPG on the year. As a team, USF is averaging 76 PPG on 45.4% shooting from the field, 33% from three, and 73% from the foul line this season.

Why the South Florida Bulls will win

  • South Florida has won 12 of its last 13 day games at Yuengling Center.
  • North Texas has lost five of its last six road day games against the American Athletic Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Fourteen of South Florida’s last 15 day games at Yuengling Center have produced a total of 135+ points.
  • Eight of North Texas’ last nine road games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 130 or fewer points.

North Texas vs. USF Prediction

I’m on the under in this game. I think the cap for this game is all about North Texas and what the Mean Green can pull off on the defensive end of the floor combined with the fact that this is probably going to be a game that’s played as slow as molasses if the Mean Green dictate the pace, limiting possessions. USF just can’t break down this North Texas defense, but I also don’t expect North Texas to go wild on the offensive end of the floor. Give me the under in this game.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 130.5

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