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North Texas vs Memphis Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/5/25

Adult, Female, Person

Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK

Memphis (11-3) vs North Texas (10-3)

January 5, 2025 at 05:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Memphis -9.5 / North Texas +9.5 — Over/Under: 138

(Get latest betting odds)

The North Texas Mean Green are visiting the Memphis Tigers on Sunday, January 5th at the FedExForum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a North Texas Mean Green vs Memphis Tigers Prediction. We will examine:

The Memphis Tigers’ recent form and player performance

The North Texas Mean Green’s recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Memphis Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the North Texas Mean Green

Recent betting trends in games played between North Texas Mean Green and Memphis Tigers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the North Texas Mean Green vs Memphis Tigers game

Memphis Tigers Preview

The Memphis Tigers have an 11-3 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place in the AAC. Memphis is coming off a 90-62 win over Florida Atlantic. The Tigers are 9-5 against the spread, and 8-6 in over/under while having a 4-2 home record. 

Offensively, Memphis is averaging 79.9 points per game, which is 87th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 74.6 points per game (268th). The Tigers shoot 46.5% from the field (112th) and 41.2% from beyond the arc, which is the 4th-best in the nation. The Tigers shoot 73.8% from the free-throw line (118th) and are grabbing 36.5 rebounds per game (189th).

PJ Haggerty leads Memphis in scoring with an average of 21.9 points, 5.8 rebounds, and a team-high 3.4 assists, while Tyrese Hunter adds 15.4 points and 4.1 rebounds.

North Texas Mean Green Preview

The North Texas Mean Green have a 10-3 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AAC. North Texas is coming off a 78-75 win over UAB. The Mean Green are 5-6 against the spread and 5-5-1 in over/under while having a 1-2 road record.

Offensively, North Texas is averaging 68.7 points per game, which ranks 319th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 57.9 points per game, which is the 5th-best in the nation. The Mean Green shoot 44.3% from the field (219th), and 35.8% from beyond the arc (96th). The Mean Green shoot 76.9% from the free-throw line (38th) and are grabbing 32.6 rebounds per game (325th).

Atin Wright leads North Texas in scoring with an average of 13.5 points, while Brenen Lorient adds 10.6 points and 3.8 rebounds.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

  • Memphis has won 40 of its last 44 games at FedExForum when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • North Texas has lost each of its last four road day games against the American Athletic Conference.
  • Memphis has won the first half in 30 of its last 40 games against the American Athletic Conference at FedExForum.

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

  • North Texas has won each of its last four games.
  • Memphis has lost the first half in eight of its last nine day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

North Texas Mean Green vs Memphis Tigers Prediction

Both teams are tied 1-1 in wins in their previous two meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, North Texas won 76-66 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the total. In this North Texas Mean Green vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, Memphis is coming as a -9.5 home favorites. North Texas is better offensively, scoring 11.2 points more than North Texas, while North Texas is better defensively, allowing 16.7 points less. The Tigers are winning by an average of 5.3 points this season, while the Mean Green are winning by an average of 10.8 points. Both teams are coming off multiple wins, but both have not been good against the spread lately. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games lately, as they are 9-4 to the over in their last 13 games combined, and I expect this trend to continue. Take the over.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 138

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