Austin Peay (13-18) vs North Florida (15-16)
March 2, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Austin Peay +3.5 — Over/Under: 157.5
The North Florida Ospreys and Austin Peay Governors meet on Sunday in college basketball action at Flowers Hall. Here’s a North Florida vs Austin Peay Prediction. This article will include a North Florida vs Austin Peay Pick.
North Florida Ospreys Betting Preview
The North Florida Ospreys (15-16, 12-16-1 ATS) managed to snap a three-game losing streak with wins over Stetson and Jacksonville but returned to losing ways against Florida Gulf Coast and Eastern Kentucky. Although they are not playing well, the Ofspreys still play better than in late December and early January, when they went through a five-game losing run. North Florida is 7th in the ASUN Standings with the same record as Austin Peay and is six games behind the leaders Lipscomb.
North Florida is averaging 83.3 PPG (15th) and is allowing 84.6 PPG (363rd). The Ospreys are getting 35.9 RPG (171st) and dish out 16.4 APG (42nd). Jasai Miles is the team’s top scorer with 15.4 PPG and 6.8 APG. Josh Harris adds 13.4 PPG and a team-high 7.0 RPG, while Liam Murphy contributes 12.9 PPG and 3.4 RPG.
Austin Peay Governors Betting Preview
The Austin Peay Governors (13-18, 13-16 ATS) are in a hot and cold form right now; winning five of the previous ten games but losing the last two to Lipscomb and West Georgia. The loss to West Georgia was painful as the Governors fell short by three points. Austin Peay finished the regular season in 8th position in the ASUN Standings.
Austin Peay averages 71.2 PPG (274th) and allows 74.6 PPG (262nd). The Owls are 356th in rebounds (32.8) and 312th in assists (12.5). LJ Thomas leads the team with 14.1 PPG, 4.7 RPG, a team-high 3.8 APG, and 1.1 SPG. Sai Witt follows him with 13.4 PPG and a team-high 6.0 RPG, while Isaac Haney has 13.2 PPG and 3.7 RPG.
Why North Florida will beat Austin Peay
- Austin Peay has lost four of its last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Why Austin Peay will beat North Florida
- North Florida has lost each of its last four games played at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Austin Peay’s last 14 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue has produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
- Each of North Florida’s last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue has produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Austin Peay ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.8%).
- Austin Peay ranks 37th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.6).
- North Florida ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (31.5).
- North Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (66.7).
North Florida vs Austin Peay Prediction
Austin Peay won six of the previous nine H2H duels, including each of the last four. The Governors were better this season, defeating the Ospreys 97-89. I expect another high-scoring affair here in the opening round of the ASUN championship. The winner of this game will take on North Alabama in the next round. Six of the past seven H2Hs went Over, and considering North Florida’s 21-7-1 Over/Under record, I am going with another Over. The Ospreys have a top-20 offense and the second-worst defense in the country, so expect a classic shootout on Sunday. North Florida has hit the game total Over in 22 of its last 30 games