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North Dakota vs South Dakota State Prediction 3/7/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

South Dakota State (20-11) vs North Dakota (11-20)

March 7, 2025 at 09:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: South Dakota State -8.5 — Over/Under: 155.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The North Dakota Fighting Hawks are visiting the South Dakota State Jackrabbits on Friday, March 7th at the Denny Sanford Premier Center, in this Summit League quarterfinal between the 3rd and the 6th seed of the conference. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits Prediction. We will examine:

The South Dakota State Jackrabbits’ recent form and player performance

The North Dakota Fighting Hawks’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the South Dakota State Jackrabbits

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Recent betting trends in games played between the North Dakota Fighting Hawks and South Dakota State Jackrabbits

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits game

South Dakota State Jackrabbits Preview

The South Dakota State Jackrabbits have a 20-11 record this season and finished in third place in the Summit League. South Dakota State is coming off a 62-78 loss to Denver. The Jackrabbits are 14-14 against the spread, and 12-16 in over/under, while having a 13-1 home record. 

Offensively, South Dakota State is averaging 79.9 points per game, which ranks 46th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73.1 points per game (216th). The Jackrabbits shoot 47.7% from the field (41st) and 36% from beyond the arc (75th). The Jackrabbits shoot 74.8% from the free-throw line (85th) and are grabbing 40.1 rebounds per game (14th).

Oscar Cluff leads South Dakota State in scoring with an average of 17.3 points and a team-high 12.2 rebounds, while Joe Sayler adds 13 points per game.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks Preview

The North Dakota Fighting Hawks have an 11-20 record this season and finished in 6th place in the Summit League. North Dakota is coming off a 79-92 loss to South Dakota. The Fighting Hawks are 14-14 against the spread, and 18-10 in over/under while having a 2-12 road record.

Offensively, North Dakota is averaging 77.3 points per game, which ranks 93rd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 79.7 points per game (345th). The Fighting Hawks shoot 43.2% from the field (275th) and 32.4% from beyond the arc (268th). The Fighting Hawks shoot 70.7% from the free-throw line (237th) and are grabbing 37.7 rebounds per game (60th).

Treysen Eaglestaff leads North Dakota in scoring this season, with 18.3 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Mier Panoam adds 13.2 points and 5.8 rebounds per game.

Why the South Dakota State Jackrabbits will win

  • South Dakota State has won each of its last 14 night games against North Dakota.
  • North Dakota has lost each of its last six night games.
  • South Dakota State has won the first half in 11 of its last 12 night games against North Dakota.

Total Points Facts

  • Eighteen of North Dakota’s last 19 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
  • Each of South Dakota State’s last eight night games at a neutral venue has produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • South Dakota State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (56.6%).
  • South Dakota State ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (28.1).
  • North Dakota ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (63.0).
  • North Dakota ranks 47th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (13.2%).

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits Prediction

South Dakota State is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against North Dakota and is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, North Dakota won 80-75 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits Prediction, South Dakota State is coming as -8.5 home favorites. South Dakota State is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and have been almost perfect at home, with just one loss in their 14 home games. On the other hand, North Dakota has been terrible on the road, and both teams have been in poor form lately, and have been playing some lower-scoring games, as they are a perfect 7-0 to the under in their last 7 games combined. Their previous meeting this season also went under the total, so I expect another low-scoring affair. Take the under.  

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 155.5

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