North Dakota (12-21) vs Alabama (28-9)
November 3, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Alabama -32.5 — Over/Under: +168.5
In this article we will formulate a North Dakota vs Alabama prediction for this College Basketball game on Monday, November 3rd at the Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks Betting Preview
The North Dakota Fighting Hawks went 12-21 (5-11) last year and they finished 6th in the Summit League standings. North Dakota lost their first game against Colorado State by a score of 82-56, but did bounce back with a non-D1 win by a score of 85-54. The Fighting Hawks started the season with a 4-9 record and they only beat back to back D1 teams two times all season. North Dakota finished the regular season by losing seven of their last ten games and they only won nine D1 games all year. The Fighting Hawks did beat South Dakota State by a score of 85-69 in the Summit Tournament, but lost to St. Thomas by a score of 85-69. North Dakota scored 77.3 points per game, which was ranked 84th, while they allowed 79.5 points against per game, which was ranked 341st.
This year, North Dakota has to replace five of their six leading scorers from last season, but they do return Eli King, who averaged 8.3 points and 5.5 rebounds per game. The Fighting Hawks will have a lot of new faces this season, which could impact their first few games, as they learn how to play together.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide were 28-9 (13-5) last season and they finished 3rd in the SEC standings. Alabama opened the season with a 110-54 win over UNC Asheville and followed that up with an 88-79 win over Arkansas State. The Crimson Tide started the season with a 21-3 record, but did lose four of their last seven games to end the regular season. Alabama defeated Kentucky by a score of 99-70 in the SEC Tournament, but lost to Florida by a score of 104-82. The Crimson Tide defeated Robert Morris, St. Mary’s and BYU in the NCAA Tournament, but did lose to Duke by a score of 85-65 in the Elite Eight. Alabama scored 90.7 points per game, which was ranked 1st in the country, while they allowed 81.3 points against per game, which was ranked 356th.
This year, Alabama does lose Mark Sears and Grant Nelson, who accounted for 30 points, 10 rebounds, and 7 assists per game, but they do return Latrell Wrightsell, Aden Holloway, and Labaron Philon Jr, who all scored at least ten points per game. The Crimson Tide love to get up and down the court and they will score with anyone, but they need to play better defense.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won each of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- North Dakota has lost seven of its last eight night games.
- North Dakota has lost the first half in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seventeen of North Dakota’s last 18 road night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 168 or fewer points.
- Thirty-five of Alabama’s last 39 night games against non-Conference opponents at Coleman Coliseum have produced a total of 168 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Alabama recorded 24+ assists in two games in last season’s NCAA Tournament – most of any team.
- Alabama recorded 22+ assists in two games in last season’s NCAA Tournament – most of any team.
North Dakota vs Alabama Prediction
These two teams did play last season in North Dakota, where Alabama won 97-90, but I don’t see this game being as close. The Crimson Tide did lose some quality players, but they also return three players that averaged double figures and brought in plenty of talent. North Dakota lost five of their last six leading scorers and I don’t think they will have the firepower this early in the season to give Alabama trouble. Take the Crimson Tide here.