| MATCHUP | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 23-9 | 21-10 |
| Spread | +2.5 -110 | -2.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Total | Over 150.5 (-105) | Under 150.5 (-115) |
| Where | Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV | |
| When | Friday, March 13, 2026 | |
| Time | 11:59 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
The New Mexico Lobos and San Diego State Aztecs meet Friday in the college basketball MWC Semifinal at the Thomas & Mack Center. Here’s a New Mexico vs. San Diego State prediction. This article will include a New Mexico vs. San Diego State pick.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
The New Mexico Lobos lost to Utah State and beat San Jose State. New Mexico has split its last 10 games.
The New Mexico Lobos are averaging 83.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 73.2 points on 41.9 percent shooting. Jake Hall is averaging 16.4 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Tomislav Buljan is averaging 12.6 points and 10.4 rebounds. Deyton Albury is the third double-digit scorer and Uriah Tenette is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The New Mexico Lobos are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 73.3 percent from the free throw line. The New Mexico Lobos are allowing 29.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs beat UNLV and Colorado State. San Diego State has split its last 8 games.
The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 79.4 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 71.5 points on 40.3 percent shooting. Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 13.1 points and 3.6 rebounds, while BJ Davis is averaging 10.7 points and 3 rebounds. Miles Byrd is the third double-digit scorer, and Magoon Gwath is dishing 0.3 assists. The San Diego State Aztecs are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free throw line. The San Diego State Aztecs are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.3 rebounds per game.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won each of its last nine Conference Tournament night games at the Thomas & Mack Center.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won eight of its last nine games against conference opponents at the Thomas & Mack Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Diego State’s last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at the Thomas & Mack Center has produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
- Fourteen of New Mexico’s last 16 games against conference opponents have produced a total of 150+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Diego State ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.6).
- San Diego State ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.9).
- New Mexico ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+14.2).
- New Mexico ranks 48th among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (101.8).
New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction
New Mexico beat San Diego State a few weeks ago and was competitive in the first meeting, losing by four points on the road. The difference here is we’re not being asked to lay much and San Diego State is coming off a balanced performance last night. There’s also a strong SDSU crowd presence in Las Vegas, which helps as well. If San Diego State is going to bring that effort defensively, this should be a tight victory. I’d need points to consider the Lobos. This line is too soft. Give me San Diego State.