New Mexico vs Nevada Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks

The New Mexico Lobos are visiting the Nevada Wolf Pack on Tuesday, March 4th at the Lawlor Events Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction. We will examine:

The Nevada Wolf Pack’ recent form and player performance

The New Mexico Lobos’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Nevada Wolf Pack

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico Lobos

Recent betting trends in games played between the New Mexico Lobos and Nevada Wolf Pack

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack game

Nevada Wolf Pack Preview

The Nevada Wolf Pack have a 16-13 record this season and are sitting in 7th place in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 55-68 loss to UNLV. The Wolf Pack are 14-15 against the spread, and 14-15 in over/under, while having an 11-5 home record.

Offensively, Nevada is averaging 72.9 points per game, which ranks 214th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 67.6 points per game (60th). The Wolf Pack shoot 48% from the field (36th) and 36% from beyond the arc (69th). The Wolf Pack shoot 69.8% from the free-throw line (261st) and are grabbing 32.2 rebounds per game (320th).

Nick Davidson leads Nevada in scoring, with an average of 15.8 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 2.9 assists, while Kobe Sanders adds 15.7 points, 3.6 rebounds a team-high 4.3 assists per game.

New Mexico Lobos Preview

The New Mexico Lobos have a 23-6 record this season and are sitting in first place in the Mountain West. New Mexico is coming off a 92-71 win over Air Force. The Lobos are 13-15 against the spread, and 14-14 in over/under, while having a 6-4 road record.

Offensively, New Mexico is averaging 82.7 points per game, which is the 17th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.6 points per game (176th). The Lobos shoot 46.3% from the field (100th) and 35% from beyond the arc (126th). The Lobos shoot 69.4% from the free-throw line (176th) and are grabbing 39.7 rebounds per game, which is the 16th-best in the nation.

Donovan Dent leads New Mexico in scoring with an average of 20 points and a team-high 6.5 assists, while Nelly Junior Joseph adds 13.6 points and a team-high 10.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

• New Mexico has lost each of its last six games at Lawlor Events Center following a home win.
• Nevada has won 36 of its last 41 night games at Lawlor Events Center.
• New Mexico has lost the first half in four of its last five games against the Mountain West Conference.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• New Mexico has won 19 of its last 22 games against the Mountain West Conference.
• Nevada has lost three of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last six games between New Mexico and Nevada at Lawlor Events Center has produced a total of 149+ points.
• Each of New Mexico’s last six games at Lawlor Events Center has produced a total of 149+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Nevada ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (52.2).
• Nevada ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.5).
• New Mexico ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (65.8%).
• New Mexico ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (73.6).

New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction

New Mexico has won their last three meetings against Nevada, but Nevada is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings. New Mexico is 3-2 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, New Mexico won 82-81 in overtime at home, not covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, Nevada is coming as a -1 home favorites. New Mexico has a better record this season, but they have been just above average on the road, while Nevada has been very good at home. Nevada is 1-3 in their last 4 games and 1-3 against the spread, while New Mexico is 0-5 against the spread in their last 5, so there is no value on either side. Both teams are 6-2 to the over in their last 8 games and their previous meeting this season was also a high-scoring one. Take the over once again in this matchup.  

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 147.5