UNLV (3-1) vs New Mexico State (3-1)
November 23, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: UNLV -12 / New Mexico State +12 — Over/Under: 142
The New Mexico State Aggies are visiting the UNLV Rebels on Saturday, November 23rd at the Thomas & Mack Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico State Aggies vs UNLV Rebels Prediction.
UNLV Rebels Preview
The UNLV Rebels have a 3-1 record this season and are coming off an 80-59 win over Pepperdine. The Rebels are 1-2-1 against the spread, and 2-2 in over/under while having a 3-1 home record.
Offensively, UNLV is averaging 81.8 points per game, which ranks 114th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.8 points per game (207th). The Rebels shoot 47.8% from the field (104th) and 39.1% from beyond the arc (47th). The Rebels shoot 78.6% from the free-throw line (33th) and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game (320th).
Dedan Thomas leads UNLV in scoring this season, with an average of 16.8 points and a team-high 3.8 assists, while Jeremiah Cherry adds 16 points and a team-high 6.8 rebounds.
New Mexico State Aggies Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies have a 3-1 record this season and are coming off a 53-74 loss in Dayton. The Aggies are 1-2 against the spread, and 1-2 in over/under while having a 1-1 road record.
Offensively, New Mexico State is averaging 76 points per game, which ranks 205th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69 points per game (143rd). The Aggies shoot 43.6% from the field (241st) and 37% from beyond the arc (92nd). The Aggies shoot 65.2% from the free-throw line (297th) and are grabbing 45.5 rebounds per game (10th).
Christian Cook leads New Mexico State in scoring with an average of 14.3 points, while Zadie Jackson adds 14.3 points, 3.5 rebounds, and a team-high 4.5 assists. New Mexico State will take on Pepperdine, Abilene Christian, New Mexico, Texas, and Southern Utah after this one.
Why the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will win
- New Mexico State has lost seven of its last eight road games against non-conference opponents.
- UNLV has won seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents at Thomas & Mack Center.
- UNLV has won the first half in each of its last six day games at Thomas & Mack Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win
- New Mexico State has won three of its last four games.
- UNLV has lost three of its last four games following a home win.
- New Mexico State has won the first half in five of its last six day games against the Mountain West Conference.
New Mexico State Aggies vs UNLV Rebels Prediction
In this New Mexico State Aggies vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, UNLV is coming as -12 home favorites, and rightfully so. UNLV is better all across the board, scoring 5.8 points more than New Mexico State, and having elite shooting percentages, almost cracking the top-100 of the nation both in field goal and in 3-point percentage. The Rebels also have an elite free-throw percentage and have a strong 3-1 home record. This will also be their fifth straight home game this season, which means fresh legs. The value here is with the home team, so pick the UNLV Rebels and lay the points at home.