| MATCHUP | New Mexico State Aggies | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 13-14 | 14-14 |
| Spread | +5.5 -112 | -5.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +190 | -230 |
| Total | Over 146.5 (-112) | Under 146.5 (-108) |
| Where | Murphy Center, Murfreesboro, TN | |
| When | Saturday, February 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Preview
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have a 14-14 overall record and an 8-9 record in the CUSA. They are coming off a 77-67 home win against UTEP and their previous three games were a 78-66 home win against Delaware, a 78-70 road loss against Sam Houston and an 82-80 road loss against Western Kentucky.
Offensively, Middle Tennessee averages 75.4 points per game, while allowing 72.6 points per game defensively. The Blue Raiders shoot with 44% from the field and grab 36.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.4 assists per game. They average 4.3 blocks per game and 6.3 steals per game defensively.
Kamari Lands leads Middle Tennessee in scoring, with an average of 13.9 points per game, while shooting with 41.2% from the field and 78.3% from the free throw line. Torey Alston is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.8 per game. Sean Smith leads the team in assists with 3.6 per game.
New Mexico State Aggies Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies have a 13-14 overall record and a 6-11 record in the CUSA. They are coming off a 93-70 road loss against Western Kentucky and their previous three games were a 67-63 home win against UTEP, a 79-70 road win against Jacksonville State and a 77-75 home loss against Liberty.
Offensively, New Mexico State averages 75.3 points per game, while allowing 71.6 points per game defensively. The Aggies shoot with 43% from the field and grab 37.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.6 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 6.5 steals per game defensively.
Jemel Jones leads New Mexico State in scoring, with an average of 16.7 points per game, while shooting with 43.3% from the field and 84.7% from the free throw line. Julius Mims is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.9 per game. Gabe Pickens leads the team in assists with 3 assists per game.
New Mexico State Aggies @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Trends: February 28, 2026
Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win
- Middle Tennessee has won nine of its last 10 home day games against Conference opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in each of Middle Tennessee’s last five games.
Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win
- The road team has won each of the last three games between New Mexico State and Middle Tennessee.
- New Mexico State has won the first half in four of its last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Nineteen of Middle Tennessee’s last 21 day games against Conference opponents at Charles M. Murphy Athletic Center have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
- Six of New Mexico State’s last seven day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 149+ points.
New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction
In this New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Middle Tennessee is coming as -5.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records both straight up and against the spread, but both have been struggling lately, having a 3-7 record in their last 10 games respectively. They both have been playing some higher-scoring games lately, going for 10-2 to the over in their last 12 games combined. Take the over 146 points in this one.