| MATCHUP | Nevada Wolf Pack | Utah State Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 22-11 | 26-6 |
| Spread | +6.5 -110 | -6.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +230 | -285 |
| Total | Over 145.5 (-105) | Under 145.5 (-115) |
| Where | Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV | |
| When | Friday, March 13, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
In this article, we will formulate a Nevada vs Utah State Prediction for this Mountain West Semifinal on Friday, March 13th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Utah State Aggies Preview
The Utah State Aggies have a 26-6 overall record and a 15-5 record in the Mountain West conference. They are coming off an 80-60 win against UNLV and their previous three games were a 94-90 win against New Mexico, a 92-65 road loss against UNLV and a 74-69 win against Grand Canyon.
Offensively, Utah State averages 82.9 points per game, while allowing 70.8 points per game defensively. The Aggies shoot with 50% from the field and grab 34.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.7 assists per game. They average 2.9 blocks per game and 8.8 steals per game defensively.
MJ Collins Jr. leads Utah State in scoring, with an average of 17.7 points per game, while shooting with 49.4% from the field and 82.2% from the free throw line. Mason Falslev is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.8 per game. Drake Allen leads the team in assists with 4.7 per game.
Nevada Wolf Pack Preview
The Nevada Wolf Pack have a 22-11 overall record and a 12-8 record in the Mountain West conference. They are coming off an 84-80 win against Grand Canyon and their previous three games were an 80-45 win against Air Force, a 74-59 win against Air Force and an 83-73 road loss against Wyoming.
Offensively, Nevada averages 76.2 points per game, while allowing 71.4 points per game defensively. The Wolf Pack shoot with 44% from the field and grab 36 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.1 assists per game. They average 3.9 blocks per game and 6.6 steals per game defensively.
Corey Camper Jr. leads Nevada in scoring, with an average of 17.2 points per game, while shooting with 46.4% from the field and 80.7% from the free throw line. Elijah Price is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.3 per game. Tayshawn Comer leads the team in assists with 3.6 per game.
Nevada Wolf Pack @ Utah State Aggies Betting Trends: March 13, 2026
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- Nevada has lost each of its last six Conference Tournament night games.
- Utah State has won each of its last five games played at neutral venues.
- Nevada has lost the first half in seven of its last eight night games at Thomas & Mack Center.
Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win
- Utah State has lost four of its last five night games at Thomas & Mack Center.
- Nevada has won each of its last three games.
- Utah State has lost the first half in three of its last four night games at Thomas & Mack Center.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Utah State’s last 10 night games have produced a total of 152+ points.
- Each of Nevada’s last three night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Utah State ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (57.7%).
- Utah State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (50.1%).
- Nevada ranks T9th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.4).
- Nevada ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (25.8).
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction
In this Nevada vs Utah State Prediction, Utah State is coming as -6.5 favorites. Utah State has a better overall but Nevada has been better against the spread. Utah State is just 3-3 in its last 6 games and 1-5 against the spread, while Nevada is coming off three straight wins and both teams split wins in their two regular season meetings, with Nevada covering the spread in both. I will not lay three buckets with a team that has covered only once in its last six games and is playing an elimination game, so take Nevada and grab the +6.5 points in this one.