| MATCHUP | NC State Wolfpack | SMU Mustangs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 16-6 | 15-6 |
| Spread | -2.5 -108 | +2.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | -135 | +114 |
| Total | Over 160.5 (-108) | Under 160.5 (-112) |
| Where | Moody Coliseum (Dallas), Dallas, TX | |
| When | Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
In this article, we will formulate a NC State vs SMU Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday, February 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
SMU Mustangs Preview
The SMU Mustangs have a 15-6 overall record this season and a 4-4 record in the ACC. They are coming off an 88-74 away win against Louisville and their previous three games were an 83-80 home win against Florida State, a 91-79 away win against Wake Forest and a 72-68 home loss against Virginia.
Offensively, SMU averages 86.6 points per game, while allowing 77.5 points per game defensively. The Mustangs shoot with 49% from the field and grab 38.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.3 assists per game. They average 3.9 blocks per game and 7.7 steals per game defensively.
Boopie Miller leads SMU in scoring, with an average of 19.4 points per game, while shooting with 46.6% from the field and 88.4% from the free throw line. He also leads the team in assists with 6.6 per game. Samet Yigitoglu leads the team in rebounds with 8.1 per game.
NC State Wolfpack Preview
The NC State Wolfpack have a 16-6 overall record this season and a 7-2 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 96-78 away win against Wake Forest and their previous three games were an 88-68 home win against Syracuse, an 81-72 away win against Pittsburgh and an 80-76 overtime away win against Clemson.
Offensively, NC State averages 85.9 points per game, while allowing 72 points per game defensively. The Wolfpack shoot with 48% from the field and grab 36 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.8 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 8.6 steals per game defensively.
Darrion Williams leads NC State in scoring, with an average of 14.7 points per game, while shooting with 43.5% from the field and 80% from the free throw line. Ven-Allen Lubin leads the team in rebounds with 7 per game, while Quadir Copeland leads the team in assists with 6.5 per game.
NC State Wolfpack @ SMU Mustangs Betting Trends: February 3, 2026
Why the SMU Mustangs will win
- SMU has won each of its last 12 night games at Moody Coliseum (Dallas) against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- SMU has won the first half in each of its last eight night games at Moody Coliseum (Dallas).
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- NC State has won each of its last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- NC State has won the first half in each of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seventeen of NC State’s last 18 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 160 or fewer points.
- Eight of SMU’s last nine home games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 161+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- SMU ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (31.1).
- SMU ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (86.6).
- NC State ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.74).
- NC State ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.8).
NC State vs SMU Prediction
In this NC State vs SMU Prediction, NC State is coming as -2.5 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season and both have been almost perfect at home and away. SMU has been unstable lately, as they are 3-4 in their last 7 games and 1-4 against the spread, while NC State is 8-2 in its last 10 games and 7-3 against the spread, so I like them as small road favorites in this spot, since they also have a better defense than SMU. Take NC State and lay the -2.5 points on the road in this one.