Navy vs American Prediction 3/12/25 College Basketball Picks

The Navy Midshipmen and the American Eagles meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the Bender Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Navy vs. American prediction.

Matchup History

Navy won both meetings against American in the regular season, including an 81-58 win at home on January 2nd, 2025, before completing the regular season sweep with a 68-60 win at American on February 26th, 2025. The wins made it three in a row for Navy in this head-to-head matchup going back to last year.

Navy Recap

The Navy Midshipmen booked their spot in the Patriot League title game by virtue of their 83-77 win over Bucknell last time out to sit at 15-18 on the year.

Midshipmen Looking For First Patriot League Tournament Title Since 1998

Austin Benigni leads the Midshipmen in scoring and assists with 18.8 PPG and 4.3 APG along with 3.3 RPG while Jordan Pennick has 11 PPG with 3.1 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Navy up to this point in the year. Aidan Kehoe has 9.2 PPG with a team-high 9 RPG to lead the Midshipmen in rebounding. Donovan Draper also has 8.3 PPG with 8.1 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Navy is averaging 71.4 PPG on 42.5% shooting from the field, 34.2% from behind the three-point line and 73.1% from the foul line so far this season.

Why the Navy Midshipmen will win

• Navy has won each of its last seven night games following a road win.
• American University has lost each of its last three night games following a home win.

American Recap

The American Eagles come into this game looking to claim the Patriot League title after their 72-62 win over Colgate last time out.

Eagles Looking For First Patriot League Title Since 2014

Matt Rogers leads the Eagles in scoring with 16.8 PPG and 5.5 RPG while Elijah Stephens has 10.7 PPG with a team-high 3.7 APG to lead the Eagles in assists and Greg Jones also has 10.5 PPG with 4 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for American up to this point in the year. Colin Smalls has 9.7 PPG while Matt Mayock has 7.2 PPG with 2.3 RPG and Geoff Sprouse has 6.2 PPG as well on the season. As a team, American is averaging 68.5 PPG on 44.1% shooting from the field, 34.4% from three and 75.8% from the foul line this season.

Why the American University Eagles will win

• American University has won 10 of its last 11 home games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Navy’s last six Conference Tournament road games have produced a total of 131+ points.
• Each of the last four night games between Navy and American University at Bender Arena have produced a total of 129 or fewer points.

Navy vs. American Prediction

I’m on American here. I think it’s key for this matchup that American is getting to host the championship game, as I think that this Eagles team was one of the tougher home teams to deal with in the Patriot League this season. The Middies had their way with American in the regular season, but I don’t see it shaking out that way in the rematch. I think American knows the task at hand here and the opportunity they have and in the end, I trust American’s offense to be a lot more consistent than Navy’s in this matchup. Give me American here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: American -3.5