Sacramento State (7-21) vs Montana (20-8)
February 27, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Sacramento State +7.5 — Over/Under: 142.5
The Montana Grizzlies are visiting the Sacramento State Hornets on Thursday, February 27th at The Nest. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Montana Grizzlies vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction. We will examine:
The Sacramento State Hornets’ recent form and player performance
The Montana Grizzlies’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Sacramento State Hornets
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Montana Grizzlies
Recent betting trends in games played between the Montana Grizzlies and Sacramento State Hornets
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Montana Grizzlies vs Sacramento State Hornets game
Sacramento State Hornets Preview
The Sacramento State Hornets have a 7-21 record this season and are sitting in 10th place in the Big Sky. Sacramento State is coming off a 66-83 loss to Idaho State. The Hornets are 9-15-1 against the spread, and 10-15 in over/under while having a 5-9 home record.
Offensively, Sacramento State is averaging 67.1 points per game, which ranks 334th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.3 points per game (133rd). The Hornets shoot 43.3% from the field (272nd) and 33.8% from beyond the arc (201st). The Hornets shoot 67.1% from the free-throw line (325th) and are grabbing 34.1 rebounds per game (252nd).
Jacob Holt leads Sacramento State in scoring with an average of 16.2 points and a team-high 7 rebounds, while Julian Vaughns adds 11.4 points and 3 rebounds per game.
Montana Grizzlies Preview
The Montana Grizzlies have a 20-8 record this season and are sitting in first place in the Big Sky. Montana is coming off an 89-85 win over Montana State. The Grizzlies are 13-10-2 against the spread, and 16-9 in over/under while having a 6-7 road record.
Offensively, Montana is averaging 76.9 points per game, which ranks 100th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 74 points per game (250th). The Grizzlies shoot 50% from the field, which is the third-best in the nation, and 36.2% from beyond the arc (70th). The Grizzlies shoot 72.6% from the free-throw line (158th) and are grabbing 31.5 rebounds per game (336th).
Money Williams leads Montana in scoring this season, with an average of 12.5 points, 3.5 rebounds, and a team-high 3.2 assists, while Joe Pridgen adds 11.8 points and a team-high 6.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win
- The home team has won four of the last five games between Montana and Sacramento State.
- Montana has lost each of its last three games at The Nest following a road win.
- The home team has won the first half in four of the last five games between Montana and Sacramento State.
Why the Montana Grizzlies will win
- Montana has won each of its last nine games.
- Sacramento State has lost eight of its last nine games.
- Montana has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against the Big Sky Conference.
Matchup/League Facts
- Sacramento State ranks T29th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (54.1).
- Montana ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (50.0%).
- Montana ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (56.7%).
Montana Grizzlies vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction
Montana is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against Sacramento State, but Sacramento State is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 meetings. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 meetings in Sacramento State, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Montana won 87-59 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.
In this Montana Grizzlies vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction, Montana is coming as a -7.5 road favorites. Montana is rightfully favored, as they have a superior record this season, but have been mediocre on the road. Sacramento State is struggling lately, as they are 1-8 in their last 9 games and 3-6 against the spread, while on the other hand, Montana is coming off nine consecutive wins, and are 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 games. Montana is in great form and has already won Sacramento State by 28 points earlier this season. Take the Montana Grizzlies and lay the points on the road.