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Missouri vs Texas Prediction 1/21/25 College Basketball Picks

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Nathan Papes/Springfield News-Leader / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Texas (12-6) vs Missouri (15-3)

January 21, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas -2 — Over/Under: 148.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Missouri Tigers are visiting the Texas Longhorns on Tuesday, January 21st at the Moody Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Missouri Tigers vs Texas Longhorns Prediction. We will examine:

The Texas Longhorns’ recent form and player performance

The Missouri Tigers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Longhorns

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Missouri Tigers

Recent betting trends in games played between Missouri Tigers and Texas Longhorns

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Missouri Tigers vs Texas Longhorns game

Texas Longhorns Preview

The Texas Longhorns have a 12-6 record this season and are sitting in 12th place in the SEC. The Longhorns are coming off a 60-84 loss to Florida. The Longhorns are 710-8 against the spread, and 9-8-1 in over/under, while they have an 8-3 home record.

Offensively, Texas is averaging 80.4 points per game, which is 59th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 66.9 points per game (58th). The Longhorns shoot 49% from the field, which is the 24th-best in the nation, and 38.2% from beyond the arc, which is the 27th-best nationally. The Longhorns shoot 74.6% from the free-throw line (89th) and are grabbing 35.4 rebounds per game (259th).

Tre Johnson leads Texas in scoring with an average of 18.6 points, while Arthur Kaluma adds 13.8 points and a team-high 7.9 rebounds. Texas will play against Texas A&M, Ole Miss, LSU, Arkansas, and Vanderbilt following this one.

Missouri Tigers Preview

The Missouri Tigers have a 15-3 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place in the SEC. Missouri is coming off an 83-65 win over Arkansas. The Tigers are 10-8 against the spread, and 9-9 in over/under, while having a 1-2 road record. 

Offensively, Missouri is averaging 84.8 points per game, which is the 15th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.1 points per game (106th). The Tigers shoot 49.2% from the field (19th) and 37.9% from beyond the arc (32nd). The Tigers shoot 71.9% from the free-throw line (178th) and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game (243rd).

Mark Mitchell leads Missouri in scoring with an average of 13.8 points and 4.9 rebounds, while Tamar Bates adds 12.9 points and 3 rebounds. Missouri will take on Ole Miss and Mississippi State after this game.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

  • Missouri has lost 14 of its last 16 night games against the Southeastern Conference.
  • Texas has won six of its last seven night games at Moody Center.
  • Texas has won the first half in six of its last seven night games at Moody Center.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

  • Missouri has won each of its last 10 night games.
  • Texas has lost each of its last 10 games against AP-ranked opponent

Missouri Tigers vs Texas Longhorns Prediction

Missouri is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against Texas, and are 5-1-1 against the spread. Over/under is 4-3-1 in their last 8 meetings. In this Missouri Tigers vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Texas is coming as -2 home favorites. Both teams have been playing extremely well this season, but Texas is struggling lately, as they are 1-4 in their last 5 games. On the other hand, Missouri has been red-hot, having four consecutive wins and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. The Tigers have also covered the spread in their last five games, and I expect them to keep this one close. Take the Missouri Tigers and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Missouri Tigers +2

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