| MATCHUP | Missouri State Bears | Sam Houston State Bearkats |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 13-15 | 20-8 |
| Where | Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum, Huntsville, TX | |
| When | Saturday, February 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 05:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a Missouri State vs Sam Houston Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Sam Houston Bearkats Preview
The Sam Houston Bearkats have a 20-8 overall record and a 12-5 record in the CUSA. They are coming off a 100-67 home win against FIU and their previous three games were an 82-78 home win against Jacksonville State, a 78-70 home win against Middle Tennessee and an 83-79 road win against Kennesaw State.
Offensively, Sam Houston averages 83.4 points per game, while allowing 73.7 points per game defensively. The Bearkats shoot with 47% from the field and grab 40.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.8 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 7.4 steals per game defensively.
Po’Boigh King leads Sam Houston in scoring, with an average of 14.3 points per game, while shooting with 42.9% from the field and 84.3% from the free throw line. Kashie Natt is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.6 per game. Justin Begg leads the team in assists with 3.6 per game.
Missouri State Bears Preview
The Missouri State Bears have a 13-15 overall record and a 7-10 record in the CUSA. They are coming off a 72-70 road loss against Louisiana Tech and their previous three games were a 70-67 road loss against FIU, a 91-87 home loss against Kennesaw State and a 76-67 home win against Delaware.
Offensively, Missouri State averages 75.1 points per game, while allowing 73.5 points per game defensively. The Bears shoot with 44% from the field and grab 35.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.2 assists per game. They average 3.3 blocks per game and 7.3 steals per game defensively.
Keith Palek III leads Missouri State in scoring, with an average of 18 points per game, while shooting with 41.6% from the field and 71.6% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3.7 assists. Michael Osei-Bonsu is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.4 per game.
Missouri State Bears @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Betting Trends: February 28, 2026
Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win
- Sam Houston State has won 14 of its last 15 home games.
- Missouri State has lost each of its last six games.
- Sam Houston State has won the first half in each of its last 10 games.
Why the Missouri State Bears will win
- The road team has won the first half in four of Missouri State’s last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Four of Sam Houston State’s last five games have produced a total of 160+ points.
- Four of Missouri State’s last five day games have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
Missouri State vs Sam Houston Prediction
In this Missouri State vs Sam Houston Prediction, Sam Houston is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Sam Houston has been the better team this season and has been excellent against the spread with a 18-7 ATS record. They have been red-hot lately with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games, while on the other hand, Missouri State has been on a free fall with six consecutive losses. Sam Houston also has a superior offense, ranking on the top-70 of the entire nation in points scored so I expect them to win this one comfortably at home and cover the spread.